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We study two one-parameter families of point processes connected to random matrices: the Sine_beta and Sch_tau processes. The first one is the bulk point process limit for the Gaussian beta-ensemble. For beta=1, 2 and 4 it gives the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Diane Holcomb , Benedek Valkó

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

Under minimal regularity assumptions, we establish a family of information-theoretic Bayesian Cram\'er-Rao bounds, indexed by probability measures that satisfy a logarithmic Sobolev inequality. This family includes as a special case the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Efe Aras , Kuan-Yun Lee , Ashwin Pananjady , Thomas A. Courtade

We obtain estimates for the Kolmogorov distance to appropriately chosen gaussians, of linear functions \[ \sum_{i\in [n]^d} \theta_i X_i \] of random tensors $\boldsymbol{X}=\langle X_i:i\in [n]^d\rangle$ which are symmetric and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Pandelis Dodos , Konstantinos Tyros

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

In this paper, we derive new, nearly optimal bounds for the Gaussian approximation to scaled averages of $n$ independent high-dimensional centered random vectors $X_1,\dots,X_n$ over the class of rectangles in the case when the covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Yuta Koike

We study the self-normalized sums of independent random variables from the perspective of the Malliavin calculus. We give the chaotic expansion for them and we prove a Berry-Ess\'een bound with respect to several distances.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Solesne Bourguin , Ciprian Tudor

We study an iterated temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of a strongly stationary subcritical Galton-Watson branching process with regularly varying immigration having index $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. Limits of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a critical decomposable 3-type Galton-Watson process with immigration when its offspring mean matrix is triangular with diagonal entries 1. It is proved that, under second or fourth order moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány

We show the existance of the stationary distributions of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson processes without any conditions on the mean matrix of the offspring distributions. Some additional properties of the stationary distribution are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Gábor Szűcs

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski

We try to design a simple model exhibiting self-organized criticality, which is amenable to a rigorous mathematical analysis. To this end, we modify the generalized Ising Curie-Weiss model by implementing an automatic control of the inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-10 Matthias Gorny

We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

In this paper we study the large deviation behavior of sums of i.i.d. random variables X_i defined on a supercritical Galton-Watson process Z. We assume the finiteness of the moments EX_1^2 and EZ_1log Z_1. The underlying interplay of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a special class of Galton-Watson theta-processes in a varying environment fully defined by four parameters, with two of them $(\theta,r)$ being fixed over time $n$, and the other two $(a_n,c_n)$ characterizing the altering…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Serik Sagitov , Yerakhmet Zhumayev

We study the problem of estimating an unknown vector $\theta$ from an observation $X$ drawn according to the normal distribution with mean $\theta$ and identity covariance matrix under the knowledge that $\theta$ belongs to a known closed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Xi Chen , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuchen Zhang

We study the spectrum of the semiclassical Witten Laplacian $\Delta_{f}$ associated to a smooth function $f$ on ${\mathbb R}^d$. We assume that $f$ is a confining Morse--Bott function. Under this assumption we show that $\Delta_{f}$ admits…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-02-07 Marouane Assal , Jean-Francois Bony , Laurent Michel

We show that, for general convolution approximations to a large class of log-correlated Gaussian fields, the properly normalised supercritical Gaussian multiplicative chaos measures converge stably to a nontrivial limit. This limit depends…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Federico Bertacco , Martin Hairer

The natural analogue for a Levy process of Cramer's estimate for a reflected random walk is a statement about the exponential rate of decay of the tail of the characteristic measure of the height of an excursion above the minimum. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney , R. A. Maller