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Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

We establish Cram\'er type moderate deviation (MD}) results for heavy trimmed L-statistics; we obtain our results under a very mild smoothness condition on the inversion $F^{-1}$ ($F$ is the underlying distribution of i.i.d. observations)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Nadezhda Gribkova

Population genetic processes, such as the adaptation of a quantitative trait to directional selection, may occur on longer time scales than the sweep of a single advantageous mutation. To study such processes in finite populations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Reinhard Bürger

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

We investigate the inhomogeneous Galton--Watson processes with immigration, where $\rho_n$ the offspring means in the $n^\textrm{th}$ generation tends to 1. We show that if the second derivatives of the offspring generating functions go to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Peter Kevei

We consider random analytic functions given by a Taylor series with independent, centered complex Gaussian coefficients. We give a new sufficient condition for such a function to have bounded mean oscillations. Under a mild regularity…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Alon Nishry , Elliot Paquette

In his, by now, classical work from 1981, Nerman made extensive use of a crucial martingale $(W_t)_{t \geq 0}$ to prove convergence in probability, in mean and almost surely, of supercritical general branching processes (a.k.a.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

In this paper, we give sufficient conditions to establish central limit theorems for boundary estimates of Poisson point processes. The considered estimates are obtained by smoothing some bias corrected extreme values of the point process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z\_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical regime, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

Performance bounds for parameter estimation play a crucial role in statistical signal processing theory and applications. Two widely recognized bounds are the Cram\'{e}r-Rao bound (CRB) in the non-Bayesian framework, and the Bayesian CRB…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Ori Aharon , Joseph Tabrikian

In this paper we study the moderate deviations for the magnetization of critical Curie-Weiss model. Chen, Fang and Shao considered a similar problem for non-critical model by using Stein method. By direct and simple arguments based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Van Hao Can , Viet-Hung Pham

We study the Langevin equation with stationary-increment Gaussian noise. We show the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality with Berry--Esseen bound of the so-called alternative estimator of the mean reversion parameter. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

We establish central limit theorems for a large class of supercritical branching Markov processes in infinite dimension with spatially dependent and non-necessarily local branching mechanisms. This result relies on a fourth moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Bertrand Cloez , Nicolás Zalduendo

We study the fluctuations of eigenvalues from a class of Wigner random matrices that generalize the Gaussian orthogonal ensemble. We begin by considering an $n \times n$ matrix from the Gaussian orthogonal ensemble (GOE) or Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-03 Sean O'Rourke

In this paper, moderate deviations for normal approximation of functionals over infinitely many Rademacher random variables are derived. They are based on a bound for the Kolmogorov distance between a general Rademacher functional and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Marius Butzek , Peter Eichelsbacher , Benedikt Rednoß

Consider the random walk $G_n : = g_n \ldots g_1$, $n \geq 1$, where $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random elements with law $\mu$ on the general linear group ${\rm GL}(V)$ with $V=\mathbb R^d$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Self-normalized processes arise naturally in many learning-related tasks. While self-normalized concentration has been extensively studied for scalar-valued processes, there are few results for multidimensional processes outside of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Justin Whitehouse , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Aaditya Ramdas

Consider a critical Galton-Watson process Z={Z_n: n=0,1,...} of index 1+alpha, alpha in (0,1]. Let S_k(j) denote the sum of the Z_n with n in the window [k,...,k+j), and M_m(j) the maximum of the S_k with k moving in [0,m-j]. We describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Klaus Fleischmann , Vladimir A. Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

The goal of this paper is to show that a single robust estimator of the mean of a multivariate Gaussian distribution can enjoy five desirable properties. First, it is computationally tractable in the sense that it can be computed in a time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Arshak Minasyan
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