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An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of sums of functions of the increments of a given semimartingale, taken along a regular grid whose mesh goes to 0. The function of the $i$th increment may depend on the current time, and also…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Assane Diop

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

We study the asymptotic properties, in the weak sense, of regenerative processes and Markov renewal processes. For the latter, we derive both renewal-type results, also concerning the related counting process, and ergodic-type ones,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Andrea Pedicone , Fabrizio Cinque

Positive $T$-martingales were developed as a general framework that extends the positive measure-valued martingales and are meant to model intermittent turbulence. We extend their scope by allowing the martingale to take complex values. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Julien Barral , Xiong Jin , Benoît Mandelbrot

In this note we connect the notion of solutions of a martingale problem to the notion of a strongly continuous and locally equi-continuous semigroup on the space of bounded continuous functions equipped with the strict topology. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Richard C. Kraaij

Let $(W_{t}(\lambda))_{t\ge 0}$, parametrized by $\lambda\in\mathbb{R}$, be the additive martingale related to a supercritical super-Brownian motion on the real line and let $W_{\infty}(\lambda)$ be its limit. Under a natural condition for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Ting Yang

We consider a supercritical branching process $Z_n$ in a stationary and ergodic random environment $\xi =(\xi_n)_{n\ge0}$. Due to the martingale convergence theorem, it is known that the normalized population size $W_n=Z_n/ (\mathbb E…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Ewa Damek , Nina Gantert , Konrad Kolesko

On a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{Q})$ we consider two filtrations $\mathbb{F}\subset \mathbb{G}$ and a $\mathbb{G}$ stopping time $\theta$ such that the $\mathbb{G}$ predictable processes coincide with $\mathbb{F}$…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-06 Stéphane Crépey , Shiqi Song

Obtaining estimates of the convergence rate of the regenerating process $Q(t)$ whose value at time $t$ is equal to the number of claims in the system $ M \backslash G \backslash \infty $ at this moment, to the limit (stationary) regime.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Eleonora Golovastova

For a Markov semigroup $P_t$ with invariant probability measure $\mu$, a constant $\ll>0$ is called a lower bound of the ultra-exponential convergence rate of $P_t$ to $\mu$, if there exists a constant $C\in (0,\infty)$ such that $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Feng-Yu Wang

Consider a continuous time Markov chain with rates Q in the state space \Lambda\cup\{0\} with 0 as an absorbing state. In the associated Fleming-Viot process N particles evolve independently in \Lambda with rates Q until one of them…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman

We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K<N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-15 Chenguang Liu

We study discrete-time stochastic processes $(X_t)$ on $[0,\infty)$ with asymptotically zero mean drifts. Specifically, we consider the critical (Lamperti-type) situation in which the mean drift at $x$ is about $c/x$. Our focus is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We consider graph diffusion processes constructed from finite i.i.d. samples drawn from an unknown manifold embedded in ambient Euclidean space, where the graph affinity is defined by an ambient Gaussian kernel matrix. We show that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Nan Wu

The Mittag-Leffler process $X=(X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ is introduced. This Markov process has the property that its marginal random variables $X_t$ are Mittag-Leffler distributed with parameter $e^{-t}$, $t\in [0,\infty)$, and the semigroup…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Martin Möhle

We derive scaling limits for integral functionals of It\^o processes with fast nonlinear mean-reversion speed. We show that in these limits, the fast mean-reverting process is "averaged out" by integrating against its invariant measure.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Thomas Cayé , Martin Herdegen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

We give optimal convergence rates in the central limit theorem for a large class of martingale difference sequences with bounded third moments. The rates depend on the behaviour of the conditional variances and for stationary sequences the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mohamed El Machkouri , Lahcen Ouchti

We consider zero-range processes in ${\mathbb{Z}}^d$ with site dependent jump rates. The rate for a particle jump from site $x$ to $y$ in ${\mathbb{Z}}^d$ is given by $\lambda_xg(k)p(y-x)$, where $p(\cdot)$ is a probability in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-12 Pablo A. Ferrari , Valentin V. Sisko