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Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are then aggregated into a single forecast. Historically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-25 Ville A. Satopää , Shane T. Jensen , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

Although algorithmic randomness with respect to various non-uniform computable measures is well-studied, little attention has been paid to algorithmic randomness with respect to computable \emph{trivial} measures, where a measure $\mu$ on…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Christopher P. Porter

We address the framework of analysing quantum metrology in the information-theoretic picture. Firstly we show how to extract the maximum amount of information in general via suitable state initialization of the probes at the beginning and a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-10-02 Yi Peng , Heng Fan

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-21 Johannes Oberpriller , T. A. Enßlin

Astronomers usually need the highest angular resolution possible, but the blurring effect of diffraction imposes a fundamental limit on the image quality from any single telescope. Interferometry allows light collected at widely-separated…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 John D. Monnier , Ronald J. Allen

This paper investigates interval estimation for a measurand that is known to be positive. Both the Neyman and Bayesian procedures are considered and the difference between the two, not always perceived, is discussed in detail. A solution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Giovanni Mana , CArlo Palmisano

Variance is a ubiquitous quantity in quantum information theory. Given a basis, we consider the averaged variances of a fixed diagonal observable in a pure state under all possible permutations on the components of the pure state and call…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-14 Ming-Jing Zhao , Lin Zhang , Shao-Ming Fei

Despite their inextricable quantum mechanical nature, events at a high energy particle collider experiment typically have very few unambiguous quantum signatures, due the type of data and the manner in which they are collected. We present a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-05-25 Andrew J. Larkoski

We apply a common measure of randomness, the entropy, in the context of iterated functions on a finite set with n elements. For a permutation, it turns out that this entropy is asymptotically (for a growing number of iterations) close to…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-20 Joachim von zur Gathen

Quantum State Tomography (QST) has been the traditional method for characterization of an unknown state. Recently, many direct measurement methods have been implemented to reconstruct the state in a resource efficient way. In this letter,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-23 Surya Narayan Sahoo , Sanchari Chakraborti , Arun K. Pati , Urbasi Sinha

Pimentel et al. (2020) recently analysed probing from an information-theoretic perspective. They argue that probing should be seen as approximating a mutual information. This led to the rather unintuitive conclusion that representations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Tiago Pimentel , Ryan Cotterell

Thermodynamically consistent measurements can either preserve statistics (unbiased) or preserve marginal states (non-invasive) but not both. Here we show the existence of metrological tasks which unequally favor each of the aforementioned…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-28 Muthumanimaran Vetrivelan , Abhisek Panda , Sai Vinjanampathy

Quantum metrology enhances measurement precision by utilising the properties of quantum physics. In interferometry, this is typically achieved by evolving highly-entangled quantum states before performing single-shot measurements to reveal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-11 Kawthar Al Rasbi , Almut Beige , Lewis A. Clark

Various measures can be used to estimate bias or unfairness in a predictor. Previous work has already established that some of these measures are incompatible with each other. Here we show that, when groups differ in prevalence of the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-13 Thomas Miconi

Randomness in scientific estimation is generally assumed to arise from unmeasured or uncontrolled factors. However, when combining subjective probability estimates, heterogeneity stemming from people's cognitive or information diversity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-14 Ville A. Satopää , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

The point of view of the particle is an approach that has proven very powerful in the study of many models of random motions in random media. We provide a new use of this approach to prove the law of large numbers in the case of one or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Firas Rassoul-Agha

Model inadequacy and measurement uncertainty are two of the most confounding aspects of inference and prediction in quantitative sciences. The process of scientific inference (the inverse problem) and prediction (the forward problem)…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-30 Amir Shahmoradi

Radio map estimation (RME) is the problem of inferring the value of a certain metric (e.g. signal power) across an area of interest given a collection of measurements. While most works tackle this problem from a purely non-Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-11 Tien Ngoc Ha , Daniel Romero

Statistical tasks such as density estimation and approximate Bayesian inference often involve densities with unknown normalising constants. Score-based methods, including score matching, are popular techniques as they are free of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-22 Li K. Wenliang , Heishiro Kanagawa

Prior specification for nonparametric Bayesian inference involves the difficult task of quantifying prior knowledge about a parameter of high, often infinite, dimension. Realistically, a statistician is unlikely to have informed opinions…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-01 David C. Kessler , Peter D. Hoff , David B. Dunson
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