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Related papers: Financial Return Distributions: Past, Present, and…

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One of the principal statistical features characterizing the activity in financial markets is the distribution of fluctuations in market indicators such as the index. While the developed stock markets, e.g., the New York Stock Exchange…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Raj Kumar Pan , Sitabhra Sinha

The behavior of stock market returns over a period of 1-60 days has been investigated for S&P 500 and Nasdaq within the framework of nonextensive Tsallis statistics. Even for such long terms, the distributions of the returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-18 Sandhya Devi

Detection of power-law behavior and studies of scaling exponents uncover the characteristics of complexity in many real world phenomena. The complexity of financial markets has always presented challenging issues and provided interesting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Stjepan Begušić , Zvonko Kostanjčar , H. Eugene Stanley , Boris Podobnik

We study the distributions of event-time returns and clock-time returns at different microscopic timescales using ultra-high-frequency data extracted from the limit-order books of 23 stocks traded in the Chinese stock market in 2003. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Raj Kumar Pan , Sitabhra Sinha

We investigate the distributions of epsilon-drawdowns and epsilon-drawups of the most liquid futures financial contracts of the world at time scales of 30 seconds. The epsilon-drawdowns (resp. epsilon- drawups) generalise the notion of runs…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-08 Vladimir Filimonov , Didier Sornette

While relevant stylized facts are observed for Bitcoin markets, we find a distinct property for the scaling behavior of the cumulative return distribution. For various assets, the tail index $\mu$ of the cumulative return distribution…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Tetsuya Takaishi

There is convincing evidence showing that the probability distributions of stock returns in mature markets exhibit power-law tails and both the positive and negative tails conform to the inverse cubic law. It supports the possibility that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei-Xing Zhou

We empirically analyze the reversion of financial market trends with time horizons ranging from minutes to decades. The analysis covers equities, interest rates, currencies and commodities and combines 14 years of futures tick data, 30…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-02 Sara A. Safari , Christof Schmidhuber

The statistics of return distributions on various time scales constitutes one of the most informative characteristics of the financial dynamics. Here we present a systematic study of such characteristics for the Polish stock market index…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-18 R. Rak , S. Drozdz , J. Kwapien

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

We show that recent stock market fluctuations are characterized by the cumulative distributions whose tails on short, minute time scales exhibit power scaling with the scaling index alpha > 3 and this index tends to increase quickly with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 S. Drozdz , M. Forczek , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka , R. Rak

Arguably the most important problem in quantitative finance is to understand the nature of stochastic processes that underlie market dynamics. One aspect of the solution to this problem involves determining characteristics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Kevin E. Bassler , Joseph L. McCauley , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

The goal of developing a firmer theoretical understanding of inhomogenous temporal processes -- in particular, the waiting times in some collective dynamical system -- is attracting significant interest among physicists. Quantifying the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 Guannan Zhao , Mark McDonald , Dan Fenn , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

We analyse tick-by-tick data representing major cryptocurrencies traded on some different cryptocurrency trading platforms. We focus on such quantities like the inter-transaction times, the number of transactions in time unit, the traded…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek , Marija Bezbradica , Martin Crane , Tai Tan Mai , Stanisław Drożdż

Accurate modeling of the temporal evolution of asset prices is crucial for understanding financial markets. We explore the potential of discrete-time quantum walks to model the evolution of asset prices. Return distributions obtained from a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-05 Stijn De Backer , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

We investigate the mechanisms behind the power-law distribution of stock returns using artificial market simulations. While traditional financial theory assumes Gaussian price fluctuations, empirical studies consistently show that the tails…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Ryuji Hashimoto , Kiyoshi Izumi

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-31 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

This work systematically conducts a data analysis based on the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in a time span through April 2020 to June 2022 for over 200 countries around the world. Such research…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-20 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

Distributions derived from non-extensive Tsallis statistics are closely connected with dynamics described by a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation. The combination shows promise in describing stochastic processes with power-law distributions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fredrick Michael , M. D. Johnson
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