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This papers proposes a generic, high-level methodology for generating forecast combinations that would deliver the optimal linearly combined forecast in terms of the mean-squared forecast error if one had access to two population…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Elliot Beck , Damian Kozbur , Michael Wolf

The paper investigates quadratic hedging in a semimartingale market that does not necessarily contain a risk-free asset. An equivalence result for hedging with and without numeraire change is established. This permits direct computation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Aleš Černý , Christoph Czichowsky , Jan Kallsen

We propose a new approach to portfolio optimization that utilizes a unique combination of synthetic data generation and a CVaR-constraint. We formulate the portfolio optimization problem as an asset allocation problem in which each asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-17 José-Manuel Peña , Fernando Suárez , Omar Larré , Domingo Ramírez , Arturo Cifuentes

In this paper, we document a novel machine learning based bottom-up approach for static and dynamic portfolio optimization on, potentially, a large number of assets. The methodology applies to general constrained optimization problems and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Qing Yang , Zhenning Hong , Ruyan Tian , Tingting Ye , Liangliang Zhang

In this article we deal with the problem of portfolio allocation by enhancing network theory tools. We use the dependence structure of the correlations network in constructing some well-known risk-based models in which the estimation of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-14 Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Asmerilda Hitaj

When the planning horizon is long, and the safe asset grows indefinitely, isoelastic portfolios are nearly optimal for investors who are close to isoelastic for high wealth, and not too risk averse for low wealth. We prove this result in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Paolo Guasoni , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Hao Xing

In the context of stochastic portfolio theory we introduce a novel class of portfolios which we call linear path-functional portfolios. These are portfolios which are determined by certain transformations of linear functions of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Christa Cuchiero , Janka Möller

The risk premia of traded factors are the sum of factor means and a parameter vector we denote by {\phi} which is identified from the cross section regression of alpha of individual securities on the vector of factor loadings. If phi is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-23 M. Hashem Pesaran , Ron P. Smith

We address the problem of portfolio optimization under the simplest coherent risk measure, i.e. the expected shortfall. As it is well known, one can map this problem into a linear programming setting. For some values of the external…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Imre Kondor , Marc Mezard

We investigate whether sophisticated volatility estimation improves the out-of-sample performance of mean-variance portfolio strategies relative to the naive 1/N strategy. The portfolio strategies rely solely upon second moments. Using a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-15 Michael Curran , Patrick O'Sullivan , Ryan Zalla

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

Optimal statistical decisions should transcend the language used to describe them. Yet, how do we guarantee that the choice of coordinates - the parameterisation of an optimisation problem - does not subtly dictate the solution? This paper…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 William Cook

This paper introduces a new functional optimization approach to portfolio optimization problems by treating the unknown weight vector as a function of past values instead of treating them as fixed unknown coefficients in the majority of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-10 Ka Wai Tsang , Zhaoyi He

In this short note, we consider mean-variance optimized portfolios with transaction costs. We show that introducing quadratic transaction costs makes the optimization problem more difficult than using linear transaction costs. The reason…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Pierre Chen , Edmond Lezmi , Thierry Roncalli , Jiali Xu

We propose a framework for constructing factor models for alpha streams. Our motivation is threefold. 1) When the number of alphas is large, the sample covariance matrix is singular. 2) Its out-of-sample stability is challenging. 3)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-02 Zura Kakushadze

In portfolio risk minimization, the inverse covariance matrix of returns is often unknown and has to be estimated in practice. This inverse covariance matrix also prescribes the hedge trades in which a stock is hedged by all the other…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-15 Lim Hao Shen Keith

One of the problems frequently mentioned as a candidate for quantum advantage is that of selecting a portfolio of financial assets to maximize returns while minimizing risk. In this paper we formulate several real-world constraints for use…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-03-10 Salvatore Certo , Anh Dung Pham , Daniel Beaulieu

In this paper, motivated by the celebrated work of Kelly, we consider the problem of portfolio weight selection to maximize expected logarithmic growth. Going beyond existing literature, our focal point here is the rebalancing frequency…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-28 Chung-Han Hsieh , John A. Gubner , B. Ross Barmish

Optimal reinsurance when Value at Risk and expected surplus is balanced through their ratio is studied, and it is demonstrated how results for risk-adjusted surplus can be utilized. Simplifications for large portfolios are derived, and this…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-10 Erik Bølviken , Yinzhi Wang

Financial portfolio optimization is a widely studied problem in mathematics, statistics, financial and computational literature. It adheres to determining an optimal combination of weights associated with financial assets held in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-21 Ankit Dangi