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Modern Bayesian approaches and workflows emphasize in how simulation is important in the context of model developing. Simulation can help researchers understand how the model behaves in a controlled setting and can be used to stress the…

Group testing can help maintain a widespread testing program using fewer resources amid a pandemic. In group testing, we are given $n$ samples, one per individual. These samples are arranged into $m < n$ pooled samples, where each pool is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Ritesh Goenka , Shu-Jie Cao , Chau-Wai Wong , Ajit Rajwade , Dror Baron

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati

This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic. It derives moment conditions for the number of infected and active cases for single as well as multigroup epidemic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-05 M. Hashem Pesaran , Cynthia Fan Yang

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, the SIRD model, to allow for time-varying parameters for real-time measurement and prediction of the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

We introduce new nonparametric predictors for homogeneous pooled data in the context of group testing for rare abnormalities and show that they achieve optimal rates of convergence. In particular, when the level of pooling is moderate, then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall

In this paper, we study the pooled data problem of identifying the labels associated with a large collection of items, based on a sequence of pooled tests revealing the counts of each label within the pool. In the noiseless setting, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-19 Jonathan Scarlett , Volkan Cevher

National and local governments have implemented a large number of policies in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. Evaluating the effects of these policies, both on the number of Covid-19 cases as well as on other economic outcomes is a key…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-25 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

Public health officials dealing with pandemics like COVID-19 have to evaluate and prepare response plans. This planning phase requires not only looking into the spatiotemporal dynamics and impact of the pandemic using simulation models, but…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Shehzad Afzal , Sohaib Ghani , Hank C. Jenkins-Smith , David S. Ebert , Markus Hadwiger , Ibrahim Hoteit

A pandemic poses particular challenges to decision-making because of the need to continuously adapt decisions to rapidly changing evidence and available data. For example, which countermeasures are appropriate at a particular stage of the…

The changing nature of the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of comprehensively considering its impacts and considering changes over time. Most COVID-19 related research addresses narrowly focused research questions and is…

A common technique to reduce model bias in time-series forecasting is to use an ensemble of predictive models and pool their output into an ensemble forecast. In cases where each predictive model has different biases, however, it is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Dhruvit Patel , Alexander Wikner

During various stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, countries implemented diverse vaccine management approaches, influenced by variations in infrastructure and socio-economic conditions. This article provides a comprehensive overview of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Shibshankar Dey , Ali Kaan Kurbanzade , Esma S. Gel , Joseph Mihaljevic , Sanjay Mehrotra

In one-stage or non-adaptive group testing, instead of testing every sample unit individually, they are split, bundled in pools, and simultaneously tested. The results are then decoded to infer the states of the individual items. This…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-04 Christoph Schumacher , Matthias Täufer

Repeated asymptomatic screening for SARS-CoV-2 promises to control spread of the virus but would require too many resources to implement at scale. Group testing is promising for screening more people with fewer test resources: multiple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Yifan Lin , Yuxuan Ren , Jingyuan Wan , Massey Cashore , Jiayue Wan , Yujia Zhang , Peter Frazier , Enlu Zhou

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed immense strain on hospital systems worldwide, leading to critical capacity challenges. This research proposes a two-part framework to optimize hospital capacity through patient relocation strategies. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Sadaf Tabatabaee , Hicham El Baz , Mohammed Khalil Ghali , Nagendra N. Nagarur

Objectives: To provide an overall quality assessment of the methods used for COVID-19-related studies using propensity score matching (PSM). Study Design and Setting: A systematic search was conducted in June 2021 on PubMed to identify…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-13 Chunhui Gu , Ruosha Li , Guoqiang Zhang

When pandemics like COVID-19 spread around the world, the rapidly evolving situation compels officials and executives to take prompt decisions and adapt policies depending on the current state of the disease. In this context, it is crucial…