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Lagrangian data assimilation of complex nonlinear turbulent flows is an important but computationally challenging topic. In this article, an efficient data-driven statistically accurate reduced-order modeling algorithm is developed that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-02 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu , Georgy E Manucharyan

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Generalized Langevin equations (GLEs) provide a powerful framework for describing slow dynamics in soft-matter systems, but deriving an exact homogeneous GLE (hGLE) for a reaction coordinate from an underlying many-body system remains…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-04-13 Shunsuke Ando , Tomoya Urashita , Soya Shinkai , Tomoshige Miyaguchi

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

In this era of big data, all scientific disciplines are evolving fast to cope up with the enormity of the available information. So is statistics, the queen of science. Big data are particularly relevant to spatio-temporal statistics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Sourabh Bhattacharya

We present a data-driven approach to determine the memory kernel and random noise in generalized Langevin equations. To facilitate practical implementations, we parameterize the kernel function in the Laplace domain by a rational function,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-08 Huan Lei , Nathan Baker , Xiantao Li

We study a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the Gibbs measure with a non-convex energy function at a low temperature. We use the practical and popular geometric annealing schedule, and use a Langevin diffusion at each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Ruiyu Han , Gautam Iyer , Dejan Slepčev

These lecture notes introduce the statistical analysis of continuous-time generative models built from Markov dynamics. We begin with the stochastic-calculus foundations of score-based diffusion models, including time reversal, score…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Eddie Aamari , Arthur Stéphanovitch

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

Continuous-time state estimation has been shown to be an effective means of (i) handling asynchronous and high-rate measurements, (ii) introducing smoothness to the estimate, (iii) post hoc querying the estimate at times other than those of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Timothy Barfoot , Cedric Le Gentil , Sven Lilge

The generalized Langevin equation is used as a model for various coarse-grained physical processes, e.g., the time evolution of the velocity of a given larger particle in an implicitly represented solvent, when the relevant time scales of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-13 Niklas Bockius , Maximilian Braun , Kay Hofmann , Friederike Schmid , Martin Hanke

Langevin diffusion is a powerful method for nonconvex optimization, which enables the escape from local minima by injecting noise into the gradient. In particular, the temperature parameter controlling the noise level gives rise to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Yi Chen , Jinglin Chen , Jing Dong , Jian Peng , Zhaoran Wang

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

In this paper we analyze, for a model of linear regression with gaussian covariates, the performance of a Bayesian estimator given by the mean of a log-concave posterior distribution with gaussian prior, in the high-dimensional limit where…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Jean Barbier , Wei-Kuo Chen , Dmitry Panchenko , Manuel Sáenz

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

Spatial generalized linear mixed-effects models are popularly used to analyze spatially indexed univariate responses. However, with modern technology, it is common to observe vector-valued mixed-type responses, e.g., a combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Arghya Mukherjee , Arnab Hazra , Dootika Vats

Dependent generalized extreme value (dGEV) models have attracted much attention due to the dependency structure that often appears in real datasets. To construct a dGEV model, a natural approach is to assume that some parameters in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-06 Bo Ning , Peter Bloomfield

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

The Langevin algorithm is a classic method for sampling from a given pdf in a real space. In its basic version, it only requires knowledge of the gradient of the log-density, also called the score function. However, in deep learning, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Aapo Hyvärinen