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A megathrust earthquake genesis of 15 months with its tsunami genesis of the last 3 months provides a real-time disaster prevention warning and hazard mitigation measures leading up to the events.

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-03 Fumihide Takeda

Monitoring stress recovery and accumulation associated with megaquakes helps to assess their recurrence. Previous studies proposed a high likelihood of imminent recurrence for the 2011 Tohoku and the 17th-century Hokkaido megaquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-09 K. Z. Nanjo , T. Hori , D. Iwata

Physical Wavelets observe the large earthquake genesis processes of several months in a regional seismic catalog, suggesting the predictability of location, fault movement and size, and rupture time with an accuracy of up to a day and up to…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-04-03 Fumihide Takeda

We consider two issues related to the 2011 Tohoku mega-earthquake: (1) what is the repeat time for the largest earthquakes in this area, and (2) what are the possibilities of numerical short-term forecasts during the 2011 earthquake…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-01-10 Yan Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson

GPS and strong-motion sensors are broadly used for the monitoring of structural health and Earth surface motions, focusing on response of structures, earthquake characterization and rupture modeling. Most studies have shown differences…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-06-18 P. Psimoulis , N. Houlie , M. Meindl , M. Rothacher

Megathrusts host Earth's largest earthquakes. Understanding the physical conditions controlling their rupture dynamics is critical for assessing seismic and tsunami hazards. These earthquakes often display complex rupture dynamics,…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Jeremy Wing Ching Wong , Alice-Agnes Gabriel , Wenyuan Fan

We present a machine learning approach for the aftershock forecasting of Japanese earthquake catalogue from 2015 to 2019. Our method takes as sole input the ground surface deformation as measured by Global Positioning System (GPS) stations…

Xu et al. [J. Asian Earth Sci. {\bf 77}, 59-65 (2013)] It has just been reported that approximately 2 months prior to the $M_w$9.0 Tohoku earthquake that occurred in Japan on 11 March 2011 anomalous variations of the geomagnetic field have…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-25 E. S Skordas , N. V. Sarlis

We show that it is possible to capture the oscillatory ground motion induced by the Tohoku-Oki event for periods ranging from 3 to 100s using Precise Point Positioning (PPP). We find that the ground motions of the sedimentary basins of…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 P. Psimoulis , N. Houlie , M. Meindl , M. Rothacher

The recent M9 Tohoku Japan earthquake of March 11, 2011 was the largest recorded earthquake ever to hit this nation. We retrospectively analyzed the temporal and spatial variations of four different physical parameters - outgoing long wave…

Physical Wavelets can offer real-time significant and megathrust earthquake predictions and disaster prevention warnings up to three months in advance, saving lives and minimizing damages.

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-05 Fumihide Takeda

We consider three questions related to the 2011 Tohoku mega-earthquake: (1) Why was the event size so grossly under-estimated? (2) How should we evaluate the chances of giant earthquakes in subduction zones? and (3) What is the repeat time…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-07-24 Yan Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson

The Tohoku EQ (11th of March, 2011, M = 9.0) in Japan falsified the proposed EQ magnitude range (M = 7.0 - 8.5) of the same seismogenic regional area that had been determined by the compiled hazard maps, study of historical data, or other…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-04-10 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis

Here we suggest a new procedure through which one can identify when the accumulation of stresses before major earthquakes (EQs) (of magnitude M 8.2 or larger) occurs. By analyzing the seismicity in the frame of natural time, which is a new…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-02-15 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Toshiyasu Nagao

Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

The aftershock sequence of the devastating Japan earthquake of March 2011 is analyzed for the presence of periodicities at the Earth tide periods. We use spectral analysis as well as a time-domain method KORRECT developed earlier to detect…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-06-16 Arjun Datta , Kamal

Plate motions are governed by equilibrium between basal and edge forces. Great earthquakes may induce differential static stress changes across tectonic plates, enabling a new equilibrium state. Here we consider the torque balance for…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Brendan J. Meade , John P. Loveless

Predicting earthquakes is of the utmost importance, especially to those countries of high risk, and although much effort has been made, it has yet to be realised. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of statistical approaches in seismic studies…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-07 Tomokazu Konishi

By analyzing the seismicity in natural time and studying the evolution of the fluctuations of the entropy change of seismicity under time reversal for various scales of different length i (number of events), we can identify the approach of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-30 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Toshiyasu Nagao

The aftershocks of the Tohoku earthquake are analyzed in light of the phenomenological theory of aftershocks. The theory is based on the concept of an earthquake source as a dynamic system, the state of which is described by a deactivation…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-07 O. D. Zotov , A. V. Guglielmi
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