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Ruptures of the largest earthquakes can last between a few seconds and several minutes. An early assessment of the final earthquake size is essential for early warning systems. However, it is still unclear when in the rupture history this…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-08 Jannes Münchmeyer , Ulf Leser , Frederik Tilmann

This research presents one possible way for imminent prediction of earthquake magnitude, depth and epicenter coordinates by solving the inverse problem using a data acquisition network system for monitoring, archiving and complex analysis…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-08-03 S. Cht. Mavrodiev

Despite dissimilar slip rates, slow earthquakes are faulting as ordinary earthquakes are. It is therefore physically natural that slow earthquakes also cause postseismic motions similarly to ordinary earthquakes, even though coseismic and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-04 Dye SK Sato , Takane Hori , Takeshi Iinuma , Masayuki Kano , Yusuke Tanaka

We present a simple yet efficient supervised machine learning algorithm that is designed for the GNSS position time series prediction. This algorithm has four steps. First, the mean value of the time series is subtracted from it. Second,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-17 M. Kiani

The time of occurrence of the large EQ that occurred recently in Japan (March 11th, 2011, Mw = 8.9) is compared to the time of peak amplitude occurrence of the M1 and K1 tidal components. It is shown that the specific EQ occurred on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-03-15 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

This paper describes the use of the idea of natural time to propose a new method for characterizing the seismic risk to the world's major cities at risk of earthquakes. Rather than focus on forecasting, which is the computation of…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-12-06 John B Rundle , Molly Luginbuhl , Alexis Giguere , Donald L Turcotte

The continuous geomagnetic field survey holds an important potential in future prevention of tsunami damages, and also, it could be used in tsunami forecast. In this work, we were able to detected for the first time Rayleigh and ionospheric…

The possibility of earthquake prediction is one of the key open questions in modern geophysics. We propose an approach based on the analysis of common short-term candidate precursors (2 weeks to 3 months prior to strong earthquake) with the…

General Physics · Physics 2015-03-20 Yuriy S. Polyakov , Gennadiy V. Ryabinin , Anna B. Solovyeva , Serge F. Timashev

Earthquakes occur because of abrupt slips on faults due to accumulated stress in the Earth's crust. Because most of these faults and their mechanisms are not readily apparent, deterministic earthquake prediction is difficult. For effective…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-31 Yosihiko Ogata

The accurate and automated determination of earthquake locations is still a challenging endeavor. However, such information is critical for monitoring seismic activity and assessing potential hazards in real time. Recently, a convolutional…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-03 Xiong Zhang , Jie Zhang , Congcong Yuan , Sen Liu , Zhibo Chen , Weiping Li

Earthquakes are among the most immediate and deadly natural disasters that humans face. Accurately forecasting the extent of earthquake damage and assessing potential risks can be instrumental in saving numerous lives. In this study, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Koyu Mizutani , Haruki Mitarai , Kakeru Miyazaki , Soichiro Kumano , Toshihiko Yamasaki

The T2K long-baseline neutrino-oscillationexperiment was started in January 2010 for the purpose of physics data-taking. Until the massive earthquake on March 11, 2011 in Japan, $1.43\times 10^{20}$ pot data were accumulated. In this data,…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2019-08-14 Yuichi Oyama

Earthquake occurrence is notoriously difficult to predict. While some aspects of their spatiotemporal statistics can be relatively well captured by point-process models, very little is known regarding the magnitude of future events, and it…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-29 Neri Berman , Oleg Zlydenko , Oren Gilon , Yossi Matias , Yohai Bar-Sinai

A semiconductor model of rocks is shown to describe unipolar magnetic pulses, a phenomenon that has been observed prior to earthquakes. These pulses are observable because their extremely long wavelength allows them to pass through the…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-05-20 John Scoville , Jorge Heraud , Friedemann Freund

Statistical properties of earthquakes are studied both by the analysis of real earthquake catalog of Japan and by numerical computer simulations of the spring-block model in both one and two dimensions. Particular attention is paid to the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2012-01-27 Hikaru Kawamura

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

In this paper we develop an understanding of the proper time of the Tohoku earthquake source. The paper is dedicated to the 120th anniversary of Einstein's theory of relativity, but the dedication is symbolic, since we are investigating a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-09-08 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

Mainshocks are often followed by increased earthquake activity (aftershocks). According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks decays as a power law over time. While aftershocks typically occur in the vicinity of the mainshock,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 Yongwen Zhang , Maor Elbaz , Shlomo Havlin , Yosef Ashkenazy

A megathrust subduction earthquake (Mw7.8) struck the coast of Ecuador on April 16th, 2016 at 23h58 UTC. This earthquake is one of the best-recorded megathrust events up to date. Besides the mainshock, two large aftershocks have been…

Earthquakes are a major threat to nations worldwide. Earthquake detection is an important scientific challenge, not only for its social impacts, but also since it reflects the actual degree of understanding of the physical processes…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-05 Yosef Ashkenazy , Ittai Kurzon , Eitan Asher