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We consider the spread of infectious disease through contact networks of Configuration Model type. We assume that the disease spreads through contacts and infected individuals recover into an immune state. We discuss a number of existing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-11 Joel C Miller , Istvan Z Kiss

The outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is still threatening the world because of a possible resurgence. In the current situation that effective medical treatments such as antiviral drugs are not discovered yet, dynamical…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Naoki Masuda , Norio Konno , Kazuyuki Aihara

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

The dynamics of infectious diseases propagating in populations depends both on human interaction patterns, the contagion process and the pathogenesis within hosts. The immune system follows a circadian rhythm and, consequently, the chance…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Zhanwei Du , Petter Holme

We perform a bifurcation analysis on an SIR model involving two pathogens that influences each other. Partial cross-immunity is assumed and coinfection is thought to be less transmittable then each of the diseases alone. The susceptible…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-09 J. Andersson , V. Kozlov , V. G. Tkachev , U. Wennergren

We develop a mathematical framework to study the economic impact of infectious diseases by integrating epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic model of wealth exchange. The multi-agent description leads to study the evolution over time of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-12 G. Dimarco , L. Pareschi , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

In an increasingly interconnected world, a key scientific challenge is to examine mechanisms that lead to the widespread propagation of contagions, such as misinformation and pathogens, and identify risk factors that can trigger large-scale…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Mansi Sood , Hejin Gu , Rashad Eletreby , Swarun Kumar , Chai Wah Wu , Osman Yagan

Understanding how internal community structure shapes the course of epidemics remains a fundamental challenge in modeling real-world populations. Standard metapopulation models often assume uniform mixing within communities, overlooking how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-07 Haoyang Qian , Malbor Asllani

We study epidemic arrival times in meta-population disease models through the lens of front propagation into unstable states. We demonstrate that several features of invasion fronts in the PDE context are also relevant to the network case.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Ashley Armbruster , Matt Holzer , Noah Roselli , Lena Underwood

The transport of virus-laden aerosols from a host to a susceptible person is governed by complex turbulent airflow, and physics related to breathing, coughing and sneezing, mechanical and passive ventilation, thermal buoyancy effects,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-19 Zhihang Zhang , Jesse Capecelatro , Kevin Maki

We consider the qualitative behavior of a mathematical model for transmission dynamics with two nonlinear stages of contagion. The proposed model is inspired by phenomena occurring in epidemiology (spread of infectious diseases) or social…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Julian Heidecke , Maria Vittoria Barbarossa

Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

We study a variant of Hanski's incidence function model that allows habitat patch characteristics to vary over time following a Markov process. The widely studied case where patches are classified as either suitable or unsuitable is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , Y. S. Chan

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

Epidemic spreading phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and society. Examples include the spreading of diseases, information, and computer viruses. Epidemics can spread by local spreading, where infected nodes can only infect a limited set of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-02 Changwang Zhang , Shi Zhou , Joel C. Miller , Ingemar J. Cox , Benjamin M. Chain

The symptoms of many infectious diseases influence their host to withdraw from social activity limiting their own potential to spread. Successful transmission therefore requires the onset of infectiousness to coincide with a time when its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-27 Ewan Colman , Kristen Spies , Shweta Bansal

To simplify mathematical models of disease spread, we often assume equal contact rates among hosts, but real-world scenarios differ. Network-based frameworks help capture these complexities and structural variations in actual systems. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Saswata Das , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Caterina Scoglio

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy