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Critical transitions in multistable systems have been discussed as models for a variety of phenomena ranging from the extinctions of species to socio-economic changes and climate transitions between ice-ages and warm-ages. From bifurcation…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-24 Xiaozhu Zhang , Christian Kuehn , Sarah Hallerberg

Increasingly sophisticated mathematical modelling processes from Machine Learning are being used to analyse complex data. However, the performance and explainability of these models within practical critical systems requires a rigorous and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Xingyu Zhao , Alec Banks , James Sharp , Valentin Robu , David Flynn , Michael Fisher , Xiaowei Huang

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

Complex systems performing spiking dynamics are widespread in Nature. They cover from earthquakes, to neurons, variable stars, social networks, or stock markets. Understanding and characterizing their dynamics is relevant in order to detect…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-14 Meritxell Colet , Andrés Aragoneses

Many models and real complex systems possess critical thresholds at which the systems shift from one sate to another. The discovery of the early warnings of the systems in the vicinity of critical point are of great importance to estimate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-02-08 Longfeng Zhao , Wei Li , Chunbin Yang , Jihui Han , Zhu Su , Yijiang Zou , Xu Cai

Cyber-physical systems (CPSs) use learning-enabled components (LECs) extensively to cope with various complex tasks under high-uncertainty environments. However, the dataset shifts between the training and testing phase may lead the LECs to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Feiyang Cai , Ali I. Ozdagli , Xenofon Koutsoukos

In turbulent flows, energy production is associated with highly organized structures, known as coherent structures. Since these structures are three-dimensional, their detection remains challenging in the most common situation, when…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-12 Subharthi Chowdhuri , Tirtha Banerjee

The computation of a cyber-physical system's reaction to a stimulus typically involves the execution of several tasks. The delay between stimulus and reaction thus depends on the interaction of these tasks and is subject to timing…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Max J. Friese , Thorsten Ehlers , Dirk Nowotka

We study the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) in the context of critical transitions modelled by fast-slow stochastic dynamical systems. We establish a new link between the dynamical theory of critical transitions with the statistical aspects…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2019-01-30 Boumediene Hamzi , Christian Kuehn , Sameh Mohamed

Detecting mixed-critical events through computer vision is challenging due to the need for contextual understanding to assess event criticality accurately. Mixed critical events, such as fires of varying severity or traffic incidents,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Filza Akhlaq , Alina Arshad , Muhammad Yehya Hayati , Jawwad A. Shamsi , Muhammad Burhan Khan

Electrocardiogram (ECG) has been widely used for emotion recognition. This paper presents a deep neural network based on convolutional layers and a transformer mechanism to detect stress using ECG signals. We perform leave-one-subject-out…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Behnam Behinaein , Anubhav Bhatti , Dirk Rodenburg , Paul Hungler , Ali Etemad

We introduce the term Super-Reactive Systems to refer to reactive systems whose construction and behavior are complex, constantly changing and evolving, and heavily interwoven with other systems and the physical world. Finding hidden faults…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-06-17 David Harel , Assaf Marron

In applications of dynamical systems, situations can arise where it is desired to predict the onset of synchronization as it can lead to characteristic and significant changes in the system performance and behaviors, for better or worse. In…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-30 Huawei Fan , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai , Xingang Wang

Critical phase transitions have proven to be a powerful concept to capture the phenomenology of many systems, including deeply non-equilibrium ones like living systems. The study of these phase transitions has overwhelmingly relied on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-12 Leone V. Luzzatto , Mathias Casiulis , Stefano Martiniani , István A. Kovács

Detection of critical slowing down (CSD) is the dominant avenue for anticipating critical transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 autocorrelation [AC(1)] are used as CSD indicators. However,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Andreas Morr , Niklas Boers

Recurrence is a fundamental property of dynamical systems, which can be exploited to characterise the system's behaviour in phase space. A powerful tool for their visualisation and analysis called recurrence plot was introduced in the late…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-27 Norbert Marwan , Maria Carmen Romano , Marco Thiel , Jürgen Kurths

The Complex Emotion Recognition System (CERS) deciphers complex emotional states by examining combinations of basic emotions expressed, their interconnections, and the dynamic variations. Through the utilization of advanced algorithms, CERS…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Javad Hassannataj Joloudari , Mohammad Maftoun , Bahareh Nakisa , Roohallah Alizadehsani , Meisam Yadollahzadeh-Tabari

Critical points separate distinct dynamical regimes of complex systems, often delimiting functional or macroscopic phases in which the system operates. However, the long-term prediction of critical regimes and behaviors is challenging given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-15 Xiangrong Wang , Dan Lu , Zongze Wu , Weina Xu , Hongru Hou , Yanqing Hu , Yamir Moreno

Contemporary tasks of complex system simulation are often related to the issue of uncertainty management. It comes from the lack of information or knowledge about the simulated system as well as from restrictions of the model set being…

In this chapter, I review the main methods and techniques of complex systems science. As a first step, I distinguish among the broad patterns which recur across complex systems, the topics complex systems science commonly studies, the tools…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi