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Related papers: Stochastic modeling of stratospheric temperature

200 papers

A concern for stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) is that stratospheric aerosols could inadvertently alter rain and winds through mechanisms independent of the intended surface cooling. We here use a multi-model framework to investigate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Zachary McGraw , Lorenzo M. Polvani

Stochastic field theories are often constructed phenomenologically, without a systematic assessment of thermodynamic consistency or local detailed balance. This may hinder a physical description of irreversibility at the field-theoretic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-29 Héctor Vaquero del Pino , François Gay-Balmaz , Hiroaki Yoshimura , Lock Yue Chew

Accurate reconstruction of global Sea surface temperature (SST), which dominates the air-sea coupling and global climate variability, underpins climate monitoring and prediction. Existing SST reconstruction products primarily provide one…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Haijie Li , Ya Wang , Kai Yang , Gang Huang , Xiangao Xia , Ziming Chen , Weichen Tao , Chenglin Lyu , Lin Chen , Miao Zhang , Kaiming Hu , Hainan Gong , Disong Fu , Lin Wang

Concepts of everyday use like energy, heat, and temperature have acquired a precise meaning after the development of thermodynamics. Thermodynamics provides the basis for understanding how heat and work are related and with the general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Reguera , J. M. Rubi , J. M. G. Vilar

The stochastic frontier model with heterogeneous technical efficiency explained by exoge-nous variables is augmented with a spatial-temporal component, a generalization relaxing the panel independence assumption in a panel data. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Erniel B. Barrios , John D. Eustaquio , Rouselle F. Lavado

The recently introduced concept of generalized thermodynamics is explored here in the context of 1d, 2d and 3d data analysis, performed on samples drawn from a 3d X-ray soil sample image. Different threshold levels are used to binarize the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-16 Borko Stosic

Quantifying the uncertainty of wind energy potential from climate models is a very time-consuming task and requires a considerable amount of computational resources. A statistical model trained on a small set of runs can act as a stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-13 Jaehong Jeong , Yuan Yan , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

Microclimate models are essential for linking climate to ecological processes, yet most physically based frameworks estimate temperature independently for each spatial unit and rely on simplified representations of lateral heat exchange. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Idan Sulami , Alon Itzkovitch , Michael R. Kearney , Moni Shahar , Ofir Levy

Any experiment with climate models relies on a potentially large set of spatio-temporal boundary conditions. These can represent both the initial state of the system and/or forcings driving the model output throughout the experiment. Whilst…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Lachlan Astfalck , Daniel Williamson , Niall Gandy , Lauren Gregoire , Ruza Ivanovic

Starting from a classical Budyko-Sellers-Ghil energy balance model for the average surface temperature of the Earth, a nonautonomous version is designed by allowing the solar irradiance and the cloud cover coefficients to vary with time in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Iacopo P. Longo , Rafael Obaya , Ana M. Sanz

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key variable for various applications, such as urban climate and ecology studies. Yet, existing satellite-derived LST products provide either high spatial or high temporal resolution, resulting in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Solomiia Kurchaba , Angela Meyer

The spatial pattern of sea surface temperature (SST) plays a central role in shaping the climate system, yet the influence of land surface temperature (LST) remains poorly understood. Using a state-of-the-art coupled ocean--land--atmosphere…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Bosong Zhang , Timothy M. Merlis

Statistical divergences are important tools in data analysis, information theory, and statistical physics, and there exist well known inequalities on their bounds. However, in many circumstances involving temporal evolution, one needs…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-03-25 Jan Karbowski

A variety of generative neural networks recently adopted from machine learning have provided promising strategies for studying quantum matter. In particular, the success of autoregressive models in natural language processing has motivated…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-20 Tarun Advaith Kumar , Leon Balents , Timothy H. Hsieh , Roger G. Melko

Stochastic reduced models are an important tool in climate systems whose many spatial and temporal scales cannot be fully discretized or underlying physics may not be fully accounted for. One form of reduced model, the linear inverse model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-29 Dallas Foster , Darin Comeau , Nathan M. Urban

The objective of the paper is to price weather contracts using temperature as the underlying process when the later follows a mean-reverting dynamics driven by a time-changed Brownian motion coupled to a Gamma Levy subordinator and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-01 Pablo Olivares

A topological computation method, called the MGSTD method, is applied to time-series data obtained from meteorological measurement. The method gives decomposition of the dynamics into invariant sets and gradient-like transitions between…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Hidetoshi Morita , Masaru Inatsu , Hiroshi Kokubu

Great strides have been made in the field of reconstructing past temperatures based on models relating temperature to temperature-sensitive paleoclimate proxies. One of the goals of such reconstructions is to assess if current climate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-09 Lucas Janson , Bala Rajaratnam

Stochastic thermodynamics as reviewed here systematically provides a framework for extending the notions of classical thermodynamics like work, heat and entropy production to the level of individual trajectories of well-defined…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 Udo Seifert

Stochastic thermodynamics lays down a broad framework to revisit the venerable concepts of heat, work and entropy production for individual stochastic trajectories of mesoscopic systems. Remarkably, this approach, relying on stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-31 David Guéry-Odelin , Christopher Jarzynski , Carlos A. Plata , Antonio Prados , Emmanuel Trizac