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This work systematically conducts a data analysis based on the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in a time span through April 2020 to June 2022 for over 200 countries around the world. Such research…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-20 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

In this work, we developed a deep learning model-based approach to forecast the spreading trend of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States. We implemented the designed model using the United States to confirm cases and state demographic data and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Tong Yang , Long Sha , Justin Li , Pengyu Hong

The long duration of the COVID-19 pandemic allowed for multiple bursts in the infection and death rates, the so-called epidemic waves. This complex behavior is no longer tractable by simple compartmental model and requires more…

The aim of the paper is to describe two models of Covid-19 infection dynamics. For this purpose a special class of branching processes with two types of individuals is considered. These models are intended to use only the observed daily…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Nikolay M. Yanev , Vessela K. Stoimenova , Dimitar V. Atanasov

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

Breaking a complex bio-social phenomenon (epidemic) into its components, considering the processes that determine its dynamics, formalizing the accepted hypotheses in mathematical equations, selecting appropriate experimental and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-16 A. V. Sokolov , L. A. Sokolova

Physicians taking care of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) have described different changes in routine blood parameters. However, these changes, hinder them from performing COVID-19 diagnosis. We constructed a machine learning…

In late 2019, COVID-19, a severe respiratory disease, emerged, and since then, the world has been facing a deadly pandemic caused by it. This ongoing pandemic has had a significant effect on different aspects of societies. The uncertainty…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mahdi Rahbar , Samaneh Yazdani

This paper presents a model for COVID19 in Mexico City. The data analyzed were considered from the appearance of the first case in Mexico until July 2021. In this first approximation the states considered were Susceptible, Infected,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-19 Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez

When we face patients arriving to a hospital suffering from the effects of some illness, one of the main problems we can encounter is evaluating whether or not said patients are going to require intensive care in the near future. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 David Quesada , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza

The COVID-19 pandemic created a significant interest and demand for infection detection and monitoring solutions. In this paper we propose a machine learning method to quickly triage COVID-19 using recordings made on consumer devices. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-04 Alexander Ponomarchuk , Ilya Burenko , Elian Malkin , Ivan Nazarov , Vladimir Kokh , Manvel Avetisian , Leonid Zhukov

We present a simple technique to compare the development of the Covid-19 epidemic in different regions, based only on the time series of confirmed cases. Weekly new infections, taken for every day, are interpreted as infection potential of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-04 Christoph Bandt

Mathematical models describing SARS-CoV-2 dynamics and the corresponding immune responses in patients with COVID-19 can be critical to evaluate possible clinical outcomes of antiviral treatments. In this work, based on the concept of virus…

Over the past few months, the outbreak of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been expanding over the world. A reliable and accurate dataset of the cases is vital for scientists to conduct related research and for policy-makers to make…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-01 Guannan Wang , Zhiling Gu , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Lei Gao , Li Wang

The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed the vulnerability of healthcare services worldwide, raising the need to develop novel tools to provide rapid and cost-effective screening and diagnosis. Clinical reports indicated that COVID-19 infection…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-11 Thao Nguyen , Hieu H. Pham , Huy Khiem Le , Anh Tu Nguyen , Ngoc Tien Thanh , Cuong Do

In this paper, we model the trajectory of the cumulative confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 (in log scale) via a piecewise linear trend model. The model naturally captures the phase transitions of the epidemic growth rate via…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-10 Feiyu Jiang , Zifeng Zhao , Xiaofeng Shao

We employ methods largely exploited in Physics, in the analysis of the evolution of dynamical systems, to study the pattern of the Covid-19 infection in Italy. The techniques we employ are based on the use of logistic function and of its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-20 Giuseppe Dattoli , Emanuele Di Palma , Silvia Licciardi , Elio Sabia

Novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, has raised a calamitous situation all over the world and has become one of the most acute and severe ailments in the past hundred years. The prevalence rate of COVID-19 is rapidly rising every day…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-09 Md. Milon Islam , Fakhri Karray , Reda Alhajj , Jia Zeng

Countries are recording health information on the global spread of COVID-19 using different methods, sometimes changing the rules after a few days. They are all publishing the number of new individuals infected, cured and dead, along with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-15 J. M. Calabuig , L. M. García-Raffi , A. García-Valiente , E. A. Sánchez-Pérez

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli