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Related papers: Analysis of COVID-19 evolution based on testing cl…

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Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson

Since late 2019 the novel coronavirus, also known as COVID-19, has caused a pandemic that persists. This paper shows how a continuous-time Markov chain model for the spread of COVID-19 can be used to explain, and justify to undergraduate…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Armine Bagyan , Donald Richards

COVID-19 pandemic is severely impacting the lives of billions across the globe. Even after taking massive protective measures like nation-wide lockdowns, discontinuation of international flight services, rigorous testing etc., the infection…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-28 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact the world, data is being gathered and analyzed to better understand the disease. Recognizing the potential for visual analytics technologies to support exploratory analysis and hypothesis…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-07-01 David Borland , Irena Brain , Karamarie Fecho , Emily Pfaff , Hao Xu , James Champion , Chris Bizon , David Gotz

We propose a mathematical model to analyze the time evolution of the total number of infected population with Covid-19 disease at a region in the ongoing pandemic. Using the available data of Covid-19 infected population on various…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-17 Nilmani Mathur , Gargi Shaw

The emergence of an epidemic evokes the need to monitor its spread and assess and validate any mitigation measures enacted by governments and administrative bodies in real time. We present here a method to observe and quantify this spread…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Justin Trujillo , Valerica Raicu

To forecast the time dynamics of an epidemic, we propose a discrete stochastic model that unifies and generalizes previous approaches to the subject. Viewing a given population of individuals or groups of individuals with given health state…

We have developed a nonlinear method of time series analysis that allows us to obtain multiple nonlinear trends without harmonics from a given set of numerical data. We propose to apply the method to recognize the ongoing status of COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-24 Fumihiko Ishiyama

We provide a predictive analysis of the spread of COVID-19, also known as SARS-CoV-2, using the dataset made publicly available online by the Johns Hopkins University. Our main objective is to provide predictions of the number of infected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Alireza M. Javid , Xinyue Liang , Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee

Widespread growth signatures in COVID-19 confirmed case counts are reported, with sharp transitions between three distinct dynamical regimes (exponential, superlinear and sublinear). Through analytical and numerical analysis, a novel…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-26 Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic , Bojana Ilic , Stefan Stojku , Igor Salom

We propose a robust parameter estimation method for dynamical systems based on Statistical Learning techniques which aims to estimate a set of parameters that well fit the dynamics in order to obtain robust evidences about the qualitative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Diego Marcondes

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused tremendous amount of deaths and a devastating impact on the economic development all over the world. Thus, it is paramount to control its further transmission, for which purpose it…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-11 Quan-Lin Li , Chengliang Wang , Yiming Xu , Chi Zhang , Yanxia Chang , Xiaole Wu , Zhen-Ping Fan , Zhi-Guo Liu

The COVID-19 pandemic has magnified an already existing trend of people looking for healthcare solutions online. One class of solutions are symptom checkers, which have become very popular in the context of COVID-19. Traditional symptom…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Anitha Kannan , Richard Chen , Vignesh Venkataraman , Geoffrey J. Tso , Xavier Amatriain

Within the context that Greece promises a success story in the fight against the disease, this paper proposes a novel method to study the evolution of the Greek COVID-19 infection-curve in relation to the anti-COVID-19 policies applied to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-28 Dimitrios Tsiotas , Lykourgos Magafas

Recent work has shown the potential of using audio data (eg, cough, breathing, and voice) in the screening for COVID-19. However, these approaches only focus on one-off detection and detect the infection given the current audio sample, but…

We introduce a Bayesian sequential data assimilation method for COVID-19 forecasting. It is assumed that suitable transmission, epidemic and observation models are available and previously validated and the transmission and epidemic models…

The COVID-19 pandemic has evolved over time through multiple spatial and temporal dynamics. The varying extent of interactions among different geographical areas can result to a complex pattern of spreading so that influences between these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-15 Troy McMahon , Shlomo Havlin , Lazaros K. Gallos

There are many hard-to-reconcile numbers circulating concerning Covid-19. Using reports from random testing, the fatality ratio per infection is evaluated and used to extract further information on the actual fraction of infections and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Allen Caldwell , Vasyl Hafych , Oliver SChulz , Lolian Shtembari

This paper proposes a cluster-based method to analyze the evolution of multivariate time series and applies this to the COVID-19 pandemic. On each day, we partition countries into clusters according to both their case and death counts. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Nick James , Max Menzies

Since early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there has been interest in using artificial intelligence methods to predict COVID-19 infection status based on vocal audio signals, for example cough recordings. However,…

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