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The literature on "benign overfitting" in overparameterized models has been mostly restricted to regression or binary classification; however, modern machine learning operates in the multiclass setting. Motivated by this discrepancy, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-13 Ke Wang , Vidya Muthukumar , Christos Thrampoulidis

In statistical disclosure control, the goal of data analysis is twofold: The released information must provide accurate and useful statistics about the underlying population of interest, while minimizing the potential for an individual…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-15 Jing Lei , Anne-Sophie Charest , Aleksandra Slavkovic , Adam Smith , Stephen Fienberg

We study semi-parametric estimation of the population mean when data is observed missing at random (MAR) in the $n < p$ "inconsistency regime", in which neither the outcome model nor the propensity/missingness model can be estimated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Michael Celentano , Martin J. Wainwright

We reexamine the classical linear regression model when the model is subject to two types of uncertainty: (i) some of covariates are either missing or completely inaccessible, and (ii) the variance of the measurement error is undetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

The problem of regression extrapolation, or out-of-distribution generalization, arises when predictions are required at test points outside the range of the training data. In such cases, the non-parametric guarantees for regression methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Gloria Buriticá , Sebastian Engelke

In this expository note we describe a surprising phenomenon in overparameterized linear regression, where the dimension exceeds the number of samples: there is a regime where the test risk of the estimator found by gradient descent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-17 Preetum Nakkiran

In the absence of explicit regularization, Kernel "Ridgeless" Regression with nonlinear kernels has the potential to fit the training data perfectly. It has been observed empirically, however, that such interpolated solutions can still…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Tengyuan Liang , Alexander Rakhlin

Every observation may follow a distribution that is randomly selected in a class of distributions. It is called the distribution uncertainty. This is a fact acknowledged in some research fields such as financial risk measure. Thus, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 Lu Lin , Ping Dong , Yunquan Song , Lixing Zhu

We show that learning methods interpolating the training data can achieve optimal rates for the problems of nonparametric regression and prediction with square loss.

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Mikhail Belkin , Alexander Rakhlin , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Many statistical estimators for high-dimensional linear regression are M-estimators, formed through minimizing a data-dependent square loss function plus a regularizer. This work considers a new class of estimators implicitly defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Peng Zhao , Yun Yang , Qiao-Chu He

The last two decades have seen major developments in interpolatory methods for model reduction of large-scale linear dynamical systems. Advances of note include the ability to produce (locally) optimal reduced models at modest cost; refined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-18 Christopher Beattie , Serkan Gugercin

Merging the two cultures of deep and statistical learning provides insights into structured high-dimensional data. Traditional statistical modeling is still a dominant strategy for structured tabular data. Deep learning can be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Jianeng Xu

The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

In classical statistics, the bias-variance trade-off describes how varying a model's complexity (e.g., number of fit parameters) affects its ability to make accurate predictions. According to this trade-off, optimal performance is achieved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

Ensemble methods are a cornerstone of modern machine learning. The performance of an ensemble depends crucially upon the level of diversity between its constituent learners. This paper establishes a connection between diversity and degrees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Henry WJ Reeve , Gavin Brown

A model for a subject's beliefs about a phenomenon may exhibit symmetry, in the sense that it is invariant under certain transformations. On the other hand, such a belief model may be intended to represent that the subject believes or knows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-15 Gert de Cooman , Enrique Miranda

Most modern learning problems are over-parameterized, where the number of learnable parameters is much greater than the number of training data points. In this over-parameterized regime, the training loss typically has infinitely many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Kanumuri Nithin Varma , Babak Hassibi

Understanding generalization and estimation error of estimators for simple models such as linear and generalized linear models has attracted a lot of attention recently. This is in part due to an interesting observation made in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-09 Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Tung Mai , Anup Rao , Ryan Rossi , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

It is shown that the the popular least squares method of option pricing converges even under very general assumptions. This substantially increases the freedom of creating different implementations of the method, with varying levels of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-18 Maciej Klimek , Marcin Pitera

It has been suggested that adversarial examples cause deep learning models to make incorrect predictions with high confidence. In this work, we take the opposite stance: an overly confident model is more likely to be vulnerable to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Angus Galloway , Graham W. Taylor , Medhat Moussa
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