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Urgent care clinics and emergency departments around the world periodically suffer from extended wait times beyond patient expectations due to inadequate staffing levels. These delays have been linked with adverse clinical outcomes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Paula Maddigan , Teo Susnjak

Compartmental models are the most widely used framework for modeling infectious diseases. These models have been continuously refined to incorporate all the realistic mechanisms that can shape the course of an epidemic outbreak. Building on…

A priority system has traditionally been the protocol of choice for the allocation of scarce life-saving resources during public health emergencies. Covid-19 revealed the limitations of this allocation rule. Many argue that priority systems…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-07-04 Parag A. Pathak , Tayfun Sönmez , M. Utku Ünver , M. Bumin Yenmez

Humanitarian challenges, including natural disasters, food insecurity, climate change, racial and gender violence, environmental crises, the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic, human rights violations, and forced displacements,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Snehalkumar , S. Gaikwad , Shankar Iyer , Dalton Lunga , Yu-Ru Lin

We propose a mathematical framework, based on conic geometric programming, to control a susceptible-infected-susceptible viral spreading process taking place in a directed contact network with unknown contact rates. We assume that we have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Shuo Han , Victor M. Preciado , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Beneficial to advanced computing devices, models with massive parameters are increasingly employed to extract more information to enhance the precision in describing and predicting the patterns of objective systems. This phenomenon is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Liye Jia , Fengyufan Yang , Ka Lok Man , Erick Purwanto , Sheng-Uei Guan , Jeremy Smith , Yutao Yue

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has promoted vigorous scientific activity in an effort to understand, advice and control the pandemic. Data is now freely available at a staggering rate worldwide. Unfortunately, this unprecedented level of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-31 Yuansan Liu , Saransh Srivastava , Zuo Huang , Felisa J. Vázquez-Abad

The efficient allocation of human resources is a critical concern in software development and other industries. This paper introduces a rigorous mathematical methodology for task assignment, employing Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Lokendra Kumar , Neelesh S. Upadhye , Kannan Piedy

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Accurate forecasting of infectious disease dynamics is critical for public health planning and intervention. Human mobility plays a central role in shaping the spatial spread of epidemics, but mobility data are noisy, indirect, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Suhan Guo , Jiahong Deng , Furao Shen

We consider exact deterministic mixed-integer programming (MIP) reformulations of distributionally robust chance-constrained programs (DR-CCP) with random right-hand sides over Wasserstein ambiguity sets. The existing MIP formulations are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Fatma Kılınç-Karzan , Simge Küçükyavuz , Dabeen Lee

In recent years, epidemic policy-making models are increasingly being used to provide reference for governors on prevention and control policies against catastrophic epidemics such as SARS, H1N1 and COVID-19. Existing studies are currently…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Zhiyi Tan , Bingkun Bao

Previous research has shown mixed evidence on the associations between mobility data and COVID-19 case rates, analysis of which is complicated by differences between places on factors influencing both behavior and health outcomes. We aimed…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 Joshua R. Nugent , Laura B. Balzer

Overcrowding in Emergency Departments (EDs) is particularly problematic during seasonal epidemic crises. Each year during this period, EDs set off recourse actions to cope with the increase in workload. Uncertainty in the length and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-08 Omar El-Rifai , Thierry Garaix , Xiaolan Xie

Mathematical models in ecology and epidemiology must be consistent with observed data in order to generate reliable knowledge and evidence-based policy. Metapopulation systems, which consist of a network of connected sub-populations, pose…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jifan Li , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King , Mercedes Pascual , Ning Ning

This paper proposes a data-driven approximate Bayesian computation framework for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification of epidemic models, which incorporates two novelties: (i) the identification of the initial conditions by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-28 Americo Cunha , David A. W. Barton , Thiago G. Ritto

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as diagnostic testing and quarantine, are crucial for controlling infectious disease outbreaks but are often constrained by limited resources, particularly in early outbreak stages. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Xueqiao Peng , Andrew Perrault

Hospitals face challenges in long-term intensive care unit (ICU) capacity planning under uncertain demand. Admission rates fluctuate over time, and LOS distributions vary with patient heterogeneity, hospital location, case mix, and clinical…

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

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