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Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

This study presents a new risk-averse multi-stage stochastic epidemics-ventilator-logistics compartmental model to address the resource allocation challenges of mitigating COVID-19. This epidemiological logistics model involves the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-12 Xuecheng Yin , I. Esra Buyuktahtakin , Bhumi P. Patel

Ultra-wideband (UWB) indoor localization provides centimeter-level accuracy and low latency, but its measurement reliability degrades severely under Non-Line-of-Sight (NLOS) conditions, leading to meter-scale ranging errors and inconsistent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 Kyeonghyun Yoo , Wooyong Jung , Namkyung Yoon , Sangmin Lee , Sanghong Kim , Hwangnam Kim

We propose an efficient online approximate Bayesian inference algorithm for estimating the parameters of a nonlinear function from a potentially non-stationary data stream. The method is based on the extended Kalman filter (EKF), but uses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Peter G. Chang , Gerardo Durán-Martín , Alexander Y Shestopaloff , Matt Jones , Kevin Murphy

The COVID-19 pandemic has strained global public health, necessitating accurate diagnosis and intervention to control disease spread and reduce mortality rates. This paper introduces an interpretable deep survival prediction model designed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Zhusi Zhong , Jie Li , Zhuoqi Ma , Scott Collins , Harrison Bai , Paul Zhang , Terrance Healey , Xinbo Gao , Michael K. Atalay , Zhicheng Jiao

Background: To assist policy makers in taking adequate decisions to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. Materials and Methods: This paper presents a deep learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

To accurately predict the regional spread of Covid-19 infection, this study proposes a novel hybrid model which combines a Long short-term memory (LSTM) artificial recurrent neural network with dynamic behavioral models. Several factors and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-08 Seid Miad Zandavi , Taha Hossein Rashidi , Fatemeh Vafaee

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has a profound impact on global health and economy, making it crucial to build accurate and interpretable data-driven predictive models for COVID-19 cases to improve policy making. The extremely large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Yangyi Zhang , Sui Tang , Guo Yu

The parameter estimation of epidemic data-driven models is a crucial task. In some cases, we can formulate a better model by describing uncertainty with appropriate noise terms. However, because of the limited extent and partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Francisco Delgado-Vences , Saul Diaz-Infante

Due to the state trajectory-independent features of invariant Kalman filtering (InEKF), it has attracted widespread attention in the research community for its significantly improved state estimation accuracy and convergence under…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Xiaoyu Ye , Fujun Song , Zongyu Zhang , Rui Zhang , Qinghua Zeng

In order to integrate uncertainty estimates into deep time-series modelling, Kalman Filters (KFs) (Kalman et al., 1960) have been integrated with deep learning models, however, such approaches typically rely on approximate inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Philipp Becker , Harit Pandya , Gregor Gebhardt , Cheng Zhao , James Taylor , Gerhard Neumann

In the presence of renewable resources, distribution networks have become extremely complex to monitor, operate and control. Furthermore, for the real time applications, active distribution networks require fast real time distribution state…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-24 Mehdi Shafiei , Gerard Ledwich , Ghavameddin Nourbakhsh , Ali Arefi , Houman Pezeshki

Kalman Filters (KF) are fundamental to real-time state estimation applications, including radar-based tracking systems used in modern driver assistance and safety technologies. In a linear dynamical system with Gaussian noise distributions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Arian Mehrfard , Bharanidhar Duraisamy , Stefan Haag , Florian Geiss

We study the Continuous-Discrete Kalman Filter (CD-KF) for State-Space Models (SSMs) where continuous-time dynamics are observed via multiple sensors with discrete, irregularly timed measurements. Our focus extends to scenarios in which the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Mohamad Al Ahdab , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan

Numerous COVID-19 clinical decision support systems have been developed. However many of these systems do not have the merit for validity due to methodological shortcomings including algorithmic bias. Methods Logistic regression models were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Yifan Li , Garrett Yoon , Mustafa Nasir-Moin , David Rosenberg , Sean Neifert , Douglas Kondziolka , Eric Karl Oermann

We present the Subset Extended Kalman Filter (SEKF) as a method to update previously trained model weights online rather than retraining or finetuning them when the system a model represents drifts away from the conditions under which it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Joshua E. Hammond , Tyler Soderstrom , Brian A. Korgel , Michael Baldea

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed forecasting models at the forefront of health policy making. Predictions of mortality and hospitalization help governments meet planning and resource allocation challenges. In this paper, we consider the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-21 Kathryn S. Taylor , James W. Taylor

Accurately forecasting patient arrivals at Urgent Care Clinics (UCCs) and Emergency Departments (EDs) is important for effective resourcing and patient care. However, correctly estimating patient flows is not straightforward since it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Teo Susnjak , Paula Maddigan

Tracking the spread of infectious disease during a pandemic has posed a great challenge to the governments and health sectors on a global scale. To facilitate informed public health decision-making, the concerned parties usually rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-05 Tejasv Bedi , Yanxun Xu , Qiwei Li

Background. Forecasting the time of forthcoming pandemic reduces the impact of diseases by taking precautionary steps such as public health messaging and raising the consciousness of doctors. With the continuous and rapid increase in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Muhammad Naeem , Jian Yu , Muhammad Aamir , Sajjad Ahmad Khan , Olayinka Adeleye , Zardad Khan