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The Boolean Kalman Filter and associated Boolean Dynamical System Theory have been proposed to study the spread of infection on computer networks. Such models feature a network where attacks propagate through, an intrusion detection system…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Brandon Collins , Thomas Gherna , Keith Paarporn , Shouhuai Xu , Philip N. Brown

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

Background: Recent work showed that the temporal growth of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective control interventions are in place. Taking this into consideration, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 S. Triambak , D. P. Mahapatra , N. Mallick , R. Sahoo

This paper focuses on the state estimation problem in distributed sensor networks, where intermittent packet dropouts, corrupted observations, and unknown noise covariances coexist. To tackle this challenge, we formulate the joint…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Peng Sun , Ruoyu Wang , Xue Luo

The unprecedented global crisis brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic has sparked numerous efforts to create predictive models for the detection and prognostication of SARS-CoV-2 infections with the goal of helping health systems allocate…

Nanomechanical resonant sensors are used in mass spectrometry via detection of resonance frequency jumps. There is a fundamental trade-off between detection speed and accuracy. Temporal and size resolution are limited by the resonator…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2024-01-17 Mete Erdogan , Nuri Berke Baytekin , Serhat Emre Coban , Alper Demir

Epidemiological models contain a set of parameters that must be adjusted based on available observations. Once a model has been calibrated, it can be used as a forecasting tool to make predictions and to evaluate contingency plans. It is…

State estimation is crucial for legged robots as it directly affects control performance and locomotion stability. In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Invariant Extended Kalman Filter to improve proprioceptive state estimation for legged…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Kyung-Hwan Kim , DongHyun Ahn , Dong-hyun Lee , JuYoung Yoon , Dong Jin Hyun

In this paper we propose a novel observer-based method to improve the safety and security of connected and automated vehicle (CAV) transportation. The proposed method combines model-based signal filtering and anomaly detection methods.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-26 Yiyang Wang , Neda Masoud , Anahita Khojandi

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Mousa Alizadeh , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Azam Seilsepour , Alireza Monavarian , Mohammad TH Beheshti

Inference and simulation in the context of high-dimensional dynamical systems remain computationally challenging problems. Some form of dimensionality reduction is required to make the problem tractable in general. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Jörg Nick , Filip Tronarp

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Tao Wang , Simin Ma , Soobin Baek , Shihao Yang

The extended Kalman filter is perhaps the most standard tool to estimate in real time the state of a dynamical system from noisy measurements of some function of the system, with extensive practical applications (such as position tracking…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Yann Ollivier

We propose a Dynamical Low-Rank Ensemble Kalman Filter (DLR-ENKF) for efficient joint state-parameter estimation in high-dimensional dynamical systems. The method extends the DLR-ENKF formulation of arXiv:2509.11210 to the augmented…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Fabio Nobile , Sébastien Riffaud , Thomas Trigo Trindade

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

For modelling geophysical systems, large-scale processes are described through a set of coarse-grained dynamical equations while small-scale processes are represented via parameterizations. This work proposes a method for identifying the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-01 Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi , Magdalena Lucini

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-19 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

Introduction: For COVID-19 patients accurate prediction of disease severity and mortality risk would greatly improve care delivery and resource allocation. There are many patient-related factors, such as pre-existing comorbidities that…

State-space mixed-frequency vector autoregressions are now widely used for nowcasting. Despite their popularity, estimating such models can be computationally intensive, especially for large systems with stochastic volatility. To tackle the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-22 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu
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