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We propose a new method to estimate the time-varying effective (or instantaneous) reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The method is based on a discrete-time stochastic augmented compartmental model that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-27 A. Hasan , H. Susanto , V. R. Tjahjono , R. Kusdiantara , E. R. M. Putri , P. Hadisoemarto , N. Nuraini

The prevalence of COVID-19 has been the most serious health challenge of the 21th century to date, concerning national health systems on a daily basis, since December 2019 when it appeared in Wuhan City. Nevertheless, most of the proposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-30 Vasileios E. Papageorgiou , George Tsaklidis

High fidelity behavior prediction of human drivers is crucial for efficient and safe deployment of autonomous vehicles, which is challenging due to the stochasticity, heterogeneity, and time-varying nature of human behaviors. On one hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Letian Wang , Yeping Hu , Changliu Liu

This article examines state estimation in discrete-time nonlinear stochastic systems with finite-dimensional states and infinite-dimensional measurements, motivated by real-world applications such as vision-based localization and tracking.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-24 Maxwell M. Varley , Timothy L. Molloy , Girish N. Nair

Mathematical models are widely recognized as an important tool for analyzing and understanding the dynamics of infectious disease outbreaks, predict their future trends, and evaluate public health intervention measures for disease control…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-16 Yukun Tan , Durward Cator , Martial Ndeffo-Mbah , Ulisses Braga-Neto

We propose a novel approach that integrates machine learning into compartmental disease modeling to predict the progression of COVID-19. Our model is explainable by design as it explicitly shows how different compartments evolve and it uses…

Simulation-based Dynamic Traffic Assignment models have important applications in real-time traffic management and control. The efficacy of these systems rests on the ability to generate accurate estimates and predictions of traffic states,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-01 Haizheng Zhang , Ravi Seshadri , A. Arun Prakash , Constantinos Antoniou , Francisco C. Pereira , Moshe Ben-Akiva

Advanced driver assistance systems are critically dependent on reliable and accurate information regarding a vehicles' driving state. For estimation of unknown quantities, model-based and learning-based methods exist, but both suffer from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Zygimantas Ziaukas , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Thomas Seel

In this work, we propose a deep learning approach to forecasting state-level COVID-19 trends of weekly cumulative death in the United States (US) and incident cases in Germany. This approach includes a transformer model, an ensemble method,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Chung Yan Fong , Dit-Yan Yeung

Accurate estimation and prediction of trajectory is essential for the capture of any high speed target. In this paper, an extended Kalman filter (EKF) is used to track the target in the first loop of the trajectory to collect data points…

Rapid and accurate detection of community outbreaks is critical to address the threat of resurgent waves of COVID-19. A practical challenge in outbreak detection is balancing accuracy vs. speed. In particular, while estimation accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Zhaowei She , Zilong Wang , Turgay Ayer , Asmae Toumi , Jagpreet Chhatwal

Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

Vehicle state estimation presents a fundamental challenge for autonomous driving systems, requiring both physical interpretability and the ability to capture complex nonlinear behaviors across diverse operating conditions. Traditional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Farid Mafi , Ladan Khoshnevisan , Mohammad Pirani , Amir Khajepour

The need to forecast COVID-19 related variables continues to be pressing as the epidemic unfolds. Different efforts have been made, with compartmental models in epidemiology and statistical models such as AutoRegressive Integrated Moving…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Juan F. Rendon-Sanchez

Unlike in a clinical trial, where researchers get to determine the least number of positive and negative samples required, or in a machine learning study where the size and the class distribution of the validation set is static and known,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Jiacheng Liu , Lisa Kirkland , Jaideep Srivastava

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

Autonomous mobile robot competitions judge based on a robot's ability to quickly and accurately navigate the game field. This means accurate localization is crucial for creating an autonomous competition robot. Two common localization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-18 Ethan Kou , Acshi Haggenmiller

Partially-Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are typically solved by finding an approximate global solution to a corresponding belief-MDP. In this paper, we offer a new planning algorithm for POMDPs with continuous state, action…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Tom Erez , William D. Smart

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with nonlinear uncertain dynamics over time-varying topologies of sensor networks. An extended state vector consisting of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Xingkang He , Xiaocheng Zhang , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang
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