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Surrogate models provide a quick-to-evaluate approximation to complex computational models and are essential for multi-query problems like design optimisation. The inputs of current deterministic computational models are usually…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-15 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

There is a high interest in accelerating multiscale models using data-driven surrogate modeling techniques. Creating a large training dataset encompassing all relevant load scenarios is essential for a good surrogate, yet the computational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 J. Storm , W. Sun , I. B. C. M. Rocha , F. P. van der Meer

We study a finite element computational model for solving the coupled problem arising in the interaction between a free fluid and a fluid in a poroelastic medium. The free fluid is governed by the Stokes equations, while the flow in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-19 Ilona Ambartsumyan , Eldar Khattatov , Ivan Yotov , Paolo Zunino

Bayesian inference allows the transparent communication of uncertainty in material flow analyses (MFAs), and a systematic update of uncertainty as new data become available. However, the method is undermined by the difficultly of defining…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-28 Jiayuan Dong , Jiankan Liao , Xun Huan , Daniel Cooper

Monte Carlo integration becomes prohibitively expensive when each sample requires a high-fidelity model evaluation. Multi-fidelity uncertainty quantification methods mitigate this by combining estimators from high- and low-fidelity models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Thomas E. Coons , Aniket Jivani , Xun Huan

Surrogate models are often used as computationally efficient approximations to complex simulation models, enabling tasks such as solving inverse problems, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic forward predictions, which would otherwise be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Philipp Reiser , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Anneli Guthke

Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

Two-phase surfactant-laden flow and transport in porous media are central to many natural and engineering applications. Surfactants alter two-phase flow by modifying interfacial tension and wettability, while two-phase flow controls…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-02 Sidian Chen , Bo Guo , Tianyuan Zheng

This work deals with the inference of catalytic recombination parameters from plasma wind tunnel experiments for reusable thermal protection materials. One of the critical factors affecting the performance of such materials is the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-07 Anabel del Val , Olivier P. Le Maître , Olivier Chazot , Thierry E. Magin , Pietro M. Congedo

Accurate overland runoff and infiltration predictions are critical for effective water resources management, in particular for urban flood management. However, the inherent uncertainty in rainfall patterns, soil properties, and initial…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Mohamad H. Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

Linear programming is widely used for decision-making in science, engineering, and operations research, yet in many modern applications the coefficients entering the constraints and objective are not known exactly and must be learned from…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-09 Debashis Chatterjee

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

Emulating the mapping between quantities of interest and their control parameters using surrogate models finds widespread application in engineering design, including in numerical optimization and uncertainty quantification. Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-02 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Kade Carlson

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

Model Updating is frequently used in Structural Health Monitoring to determine structures' operating conditions and whether maintenance is required. Data collected by sensors are used to update the values of some initially unknown…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-23 Felipe Igea , Alice Cicirello

The objective of this study is to highlight the effect of porosity variation in a topology optimization process in the field of fluid dynamics. Usually a penalization term added to momentum equation provides to get material distribution.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-04-23 Rakotobe Michaël , Ramalingom Delphine , Cocquet Pierre-Henri , Bastide Alain

In this paper we study the efficacy of combining machine-learning methods with projection-based model reduction techniques for creating data-driven surrogate models of computationally expensive, high-fidelity physics models. Such surrogate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-09-28 Kenny Chowdhary , Chi Hoang , Kookjin Lee , Jaideep Ray

A stochastic approach to the filling dynamics of an open topology porous structure permeated with a perfectly wetting fluid is presented. From the discrete structure of the disordered voids network with only nearest neighbors links, we…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-01-22 Robert Bouzerar , Issyan Tekaya , Roger Bouzerar

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen