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Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ivan Ustyuzhaninov , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

A major challenge in next-generation industrial applications is to improve numerical analysis by quantifying uncertainties in predictions. In this work we present a formulation of a fully nonlinear and dispersive potential flow water wave…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-04-15 Daniele Bigoni , Allan P. Engsig-Karup , Claes Eskilsson

Leveraging neural networks as surrogate models for turbulence simulation is a topic of growing interest. At the same time, embodying the inherent uncertainty of simulations in the predictions of surrogate models remains very challenging.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-10 Qiang Liu , Nils Thuerey

We derive a homogenized macroscopic model for fluid flows over ordered homogeneous porous surfaces. The unconfined free-flow is described by the Navier-Stokes equation, and the Darcy equation governs the seepage flow within the porous…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-01-20 Y. Sudhakar , Ugis Lacis , Simon Pasche , Shervin Bagheri

When we use simulation to assess the performance of stochastic systems, the input models used to drive simulation experiments are often estimated from finite real-world data. There exist both input model and simulation estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Wei Xie , Cheng Li , Yuefeng Wu , Pu Zhang

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

Modeling yield stress fluids in complex flow scenarios presents significant challenges, particularly because conventional rheological characterization methods often yield material parameters that are not fully representative of the…

This paper presents a novel machine-learning framework for reconstructing low-order gust-encounter flow field and lift coefficients from sparse, noisy surface pressure measurements. Our study thoroughly investigates the time-varying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Hanieh Mousavi , Jeff D. Eldredge

The efficient resolution of Bayesian inverse problems remains challenging due to the high computational cost of traditional sampling methods. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that integrates Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Daniil Sherki , Ivan Oseledets , Ekaterina Muravleva

Many applications in aerodynamics, particularly in closed-loop control, depend on sensors to estimate the evolving state of the flow. This estimation task is inherently accompanied by uncertainty due to the noisy measurements of sensors or…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-07 Jeff D. Eldredge , Hanieh Mousavi

Multiphase flow in porous media underpins subsurface energy and environmental technologies, including geological CO$_2$ storage and underground hydrogen storage, yet pore-scale dynamics in realistic three-dimensional materials remain…

A new OpenFOAM application to simulate multiphase flows in porous media is formulated and tested. The proposed solver combines the Eulerian multi-fluid formulation for a system of phase fractions with Darcy's law for flows through porous…

We experimentally examine pressure-driven flows of 1%, 3%, and 5% dilute suspensions over and through a porous media model. The flow of non-colloidal, non-Brownian suspensions of rigid and spherical particles suspended in a Newtonian fluid…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-05-12 Eileen A. Haffner , Parisa Mirbod

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper, we develop a machine learning-based Bayesian approach to inversely quantify and reduce the uncertainties of the two-fluid model-based multiphase computational fluid dynamics (MCFD) for bubbly flow simulations. The proposed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-22 Yang Liu , Dewei Wang , Xiaodong Sun , Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Rui Hu

Continuum-scale material deformation models, such as crystal plasticity, can significantly enhance their predictive accuracy by incorporating input from lower-scale (i.e., mesoscale) models. The procedure to generate and extract the…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-01-06 Nicholas Huebner Julian , Giacomo Po , Enrique Martinez , Nithin Mathew , Danny Perez

Mathematical models in computational physics contain uncertain parameters that impact prediction accuracy. In turbulence modeling, this challenge is especially significant: Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Sanjan C. Muchandimath , Joaquim R. R. A. Martins , Alex A. Gorodetsky

Hypothesis Control of capillary flow through porous media has broad practical implications. However, achieving accurate and reliable control of such processes by tuning the pore size or by modification of interface wettability remains…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-08 MingchaoLiu , Si Suo , Jian Wu , Yixiang Gan , DorianAH HanaorcC. Q. Chen