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The non-gaussianity of processes observed in financial markets and relatively good performance of gaussian models can be reconciled by replacing the Brownian motion with Levy processes whose Levy densities decay as exp(-lambda|x|) or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Levendorskii

We study the asymptotic of the ruin probability for a process which is the solution of linear SDE defined by a pair of independent L\'evy processes. Our main interest is the model describing the evolution of the capital reserve of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper we consider dividend problem for an insurance company whose risk evolves as a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process (in the absence of dividend payments) when Parisian delay is applied. The objective function is given by the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-19 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this contribution we study the asymptotics of \begin{eqnarray*} P(\exists t\ge 0 : B_H(L(t))-cL(t)>u), \quad u \to \infty, \end{eqnarray*} where $B_H, H\in (0,1)$ is a fractional Brownian motion, $L(t)$ is a non-negative pure jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-18 Grigori Jasnovidov

Define a $\gamma$-reflected process $W_\gamma(t)=Y_H(t)-\gamma\inf_{s\in[0,t]}Y_H(s)$, $t\ge0$ with input process $\{Y_H(t), t\ge 0\}$ which is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$ and a negative linear trend. In risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-12 Peng Liu , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys

This paper focuses on a discrete-time risk model in which both insurance risk and financial risk are taken into account. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability and the tail probability of the aggregate risk amount.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhu Li

In this paper, we study a risk process modeled by a Brownian motion with drift (the diffusion approximation model). The insurance entity can purchase reinsurance to lower its risk and receive cash injections at discrete times to avoid ruin.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-12-20 Shangzhen Luo , Michael Taksar

We consider a risk model where deficits after ruin are covered by a new type of reinsurance contract that provides capital injections. To allow the insurance company's survival after ruin, the reinsurer injects capital only at ruin times…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Zied Ben Salah , José Garrido

We study the problem of minimizing the discounted probability of exponential Parisian ruin, that is, the discounted probability that an insurer's surplus exhibits an excursion below zero in excess of an exponentially distributed clock. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Xiaoqing Liang , Virginia R. Young

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

We start by showing that the finite-time absolute ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force can be expressed in terms of the transition probability of a positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, say X. Our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-15 Ronnie L. Loeffen , Pierre Patie

In this paper, we investigate Parisian ruin for a L\'evy surplus process with an adaptive premium rate, namely a refracted L\'evy process. More general Parisian boundary-crossing problems with a deterministic implementation delay are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Mohamed Amine Lkabous , Irmina Czarna , Jean-François Renaud

The paper investigates a discrete time Binomial risk model with different types of polices and shock events may influence some of the claim sizes. It is shown that this model can be considered as a particular case of the classical compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva

In this paper, we discuss the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $\sigma> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-02 Shimao Fan , Sheng Xiong , Wei-Shih Yang

We consider an approach to credit risk in which the information about the time of bankruptcy is modelled using a Brownian bridge that starts at zero and is conditioned to equal zero when the default occurs. This raises the question whether…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Matteo L. Bedini , Michael Hinz

Suppose a solid has a crack filled with a gas. If the crack reaches the surrounding medium, how long does it take the gas to diffuse out of the crack? Iterated Brownian motion serves as a model for diffusion in a crack. If \tau is the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. Dante DeBlassie

We consider the simple random walk on the $N$-dimensional integer lattice from the perspective of evaluating asymptotically the duration of play in the multidimensional gambler\apost s ruin problem. We show that, under suitable rescalings,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Achillefs Tzioufas
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