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The evolutionary process has been modelled in many ways using both stochastic and deterministic models. We develop an algebraic model of evolution in a population of asexually reproducing organisms in which we represent a stochastic walk in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-18 Daniel Nichol , Peter Jeavons , Robert Bonomo , Philip K. Maini , Jerome L. Paul , Robert A. Gatenby , Alexander R. A. Anderson , Jacob G. Scott

Modern generative machine learning models demonstrate surprising ability to create realistic outputs far beyond their training data, such as photorealistic artwork, accurate protein structures, or conversational text. These successes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 William Gilpin

The simplest, and most common, stochastic model for population processes, including those from biochemistry and cell biology, are continuous time Markov chains. Simulation of such models is often relatively straightforward as there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-01 David F. Anderson , Masanori Koyama

We develop an approach to training generative models based on unrolling a variational auto-encoder into a Markov chain, and shaping the chain's trajectories using a technique inspired by recent work in Approximate Bayesian computation. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-03 Philip Bachman , Doina Precup

Machine learning techniques not only offer efficient tools for modelling dynamical systems from data, but can also be employed as frontline investigative instruments for the underlying physics. Nontrivial information about the original…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-24 Francesco Borra , Marco Baldovin

Many systems are partially stochastic in nature. We have derived data driven approaches for extracting stochastic state machines (Markov models) directly from observed data. This chapter provides an overview of our approach with numerous…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Richard R. Brooks , Lu Yu , Yu Fu , Guthrie Cordone , Jon Oakley , Xingsi Zhong

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

Complex systems made of interacting elements are commonly abstracted as networks, in which nodes are associated with dynamic state variables, whose evolution is driven by interactions mediated by the edges. Markov processes have been the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-30 Vsevolod Salnikov , Michael T. Schaub , Renaud Lambiotte

We show that Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) may be fruitfully exploited to learn stochastic dynamics, surrogating traditional models while capturing thermal fluctuations. Specifically, we showcase the application to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-30 Daniele Lanzoni , Olivier Pierre-Louis , Roberto Bergamaschini , Francesco Montalenti

Generating realistic vehicle speed trajectories is a crucial component in evaluating vehicle fuel economy and in predictive control of self-driving cars. Traditional generative models rely on Markov chain methods and can produce accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Farnaz Behnia , Dominik Karbowski , Vadim Sokolov

Understanding the generative mechanism of a natural system is a vital component of the scientific method. Here, we investigate one of the fundamental steps toward this goal by presenting the minimal generator of an arbitrary binary Markov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-14 J. Ruebeck , R. G. James , J. R. Mahoney , J. P. Crutchfield

We focus on generative autoencoders, such as variational or adversarial autoencoders, which jointly learn a generative model alongside an inference model. Generative autoencoders are those which are trained to softly enforce a prior on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Antonia Creswell , Kai Arulkumaran , Anil Anthony Bharath

Infinite population models are important tools for studying population dynamics of evolutionary algorithms. They describe how the distributions of populations change between consecutive generations. In general, infinite population models…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-09-29 Bo Song , Victor O. K. Li

Many recent flow-matching and diffusion-style generative models rely on auxiliary stochastic dynamics during training: a richer process is simulated to define conditional targets, but the auxiliary state is either intractable to sample at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Lukas Billera , Hedwig Nora Nordlinder , Ben Murrell

It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-11 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

Stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) are increasingly used to account for the inherent stochasticity exhibited by interacting populations of species in areas such as epidemiology, population ecology and systems biology. Species numbers are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-06 Tom E. Lowe , Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We propose a deep generative Markov State Model (DeepGenMSM) learning framework for inference of metastable dynamical systems and prediction of trajectories. After unsupervised training on time series data, the model contains (i) a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-14 Hao Wu , Andreas Mardt , Luca Pasquali , Frank Noe

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang

We present a deep learning model for data-driven simulations of random dynamical systems without a distributional assumption. The deep learning model consists of a recurrent neural network, which aims to learn the time marching structure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Kyongmin Yeo , Zan Li , Wesley M. Gifford

We present a generative model of human mobility in which trajectories arise as realizations of a prescribed, time-dependent Markov dynamics defined on a spatial interaction network. The model constructs a hierarchical routing structure with…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-12 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel