Related papers: CARPool Covariance: Fast, unbiased covariance esti…
Key to effective generic, or "black-box", variational inference is the selection of an approximation to the target density that balances accuracy and speed. Copula models are promising options, but calibration of the approximation can be…
Cosmological weak lensing by the large scale structure of the Universe, cosmic shear, is coming of age as a powerful probe of the parameters describing the cosmological model and matter power spectrum. It complements CMB studies, by…
Accurate mock catalogues are essential for assessing systematics in the cosmological analysis of large galaxy surveys. Anisotropic two-point clustering measurements from the same simulation show some scatter for different lines of sight…
We introduce a physically-motivated model of the matter power spectrum, based on the halo model and perturbation theory. This model achieves 1\% accuracy on all $k-$scales between $k=0.02h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ to $k=1h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$.…
$ $Future surveys could obtain tighter constraints on the cosmological parameters with the galaxy power spectrum than with the Cosmic Microwave Background. However, the inclusion of multiple overlapping tracers, redshift bins, and more…
Aligning theoretical atomistic structural models of materials with available experimental data presents a significant challenge for disordered systems. The configurational space to navigate is vast, and faithful realizations require large…
Data analysis of gravitational waves detected by the Ligo-Virgo-Kagra collaboration and future observatories relies on precise modelling of the sources. In order to build, calibrate and validate current models, we resort to expensive…
Next-generation optical imaging surveys will revolutionise the observations of weak gravitational lensing by galaxy clusters and provide stringent constraints on growth of structure and cosmic acceleration. In these experiments, accurate…
We investigate the feasibility of using COmoving Lagrangian Acceleration (COLA) technique to efficiently generate galaxy mock catalogues that can accurately reproduce the statistical properties of observed galaxies. Our proposed scheme…
Super sample covariance (SSC) is important when estimating covariance matrices using a set of mock catalogues for galaxy surveys. If the underlying cosmological simulations do not include the variation in background parameters appropriate…
Weak gravitational lensing is a powerful probe of cosmology, with second-order shear statistics commonly used to constrain parameters such as the matter density $\Omega_\mathrm{m}$ and the clustering amplitude $S_8$. However, parameter…
We investigate simulation-based bandpower covariance matrices commonly used in cosmological parameter inferences such as the estimation of the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$. We find that upper limits on $r$ can be biased low by tens of…
Calibrating out per-antenna signal chain effects is an essential step in analyzing radio interferometric data. For drift-scanning arrays, robustly calibrating the data is especially challenging due to the lack of the ability to track a…
We present calypso, a parameter-conditioned stochastic surrogate model for circumbinary accretion flows. We represent the total and individual accretion time series in a PCA basis and model the resulting coefficients as draws from a…
The upcoming generation of galaxy surveys will probe the distribution of matter in the universe with unprecedented accuracy. Measurements of the matter power spectrum at different scales and redshifts will provide stringent constraints on…
The likelihood function for cosmological parameters, given by e.g. weak lensing shear measurements, depends on contributions to the covariance induced by the nonlinear evolution of the cosmic web. As nonlinear clustering to date has only…
In many longitudinal settings, time-varying covariates may not be measured at the same time as responses and are often prone to measurement error. Naive last-observation-carried-forward methods incur estimation biases, and existing…
Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…
We present an investigation into a hitherto unexplored systematic that affects the accuracy of galaxy cluster mass estimates with weak gravitational lensing. Specifically, we study the covariance between the weak lensing signal,…
We seek to improve estimates of the power spectrum covariance matrix from a limited number of simulations by employing a novel statistical technique known as shrinkage estimation. The shrinkage technique optimally combines an empirical…