English
Related papers

Related papers: Alignment Problems With Current Forecasting Platfo…

200 papers

With AI systems becoming more powerful and pervasive, there is increasing debate about keeping their actions aligned with the broader goals and needs of humanity. This multi-disciplinary and multi-stakeholder debate must resolve many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Koen Holtman

Algorithmic fairness has emerged as a central issue in ML, and it has become standard practice to adjust ML algorithms so that they will satisfy fairness requirements such as Equal Opportunity. In this paper we consider the effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ronen Gradwohl , Eilam Shapira , Moshe Tennenholtz

When machine learning systems meet real world applications, accuracy is only one of several requirements. In this paper, we assay a complementary perspective originating from the increasing availability of pre-trained and regularly…

Ranking algorithms are deployed widely to order a set of items in applications such as search engines, news feeds, and recommendation systems. Recent studies, however, have shown that, left unchecked, the output of ranking algorithms can…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-07-31 L. Elisa Celis , Damian Straszak , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

This paper forges a strong connection between two seemingly unrelated forecasting problems: incentive-compatible forecast elicitation and forecast aggregation. Proper scoring rules are the well-known solution to the former problem. To each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Eric Neyman , Tim Roughgarden

We study the incentivized information acquisition problem, where a principal hires an agent to gather information on her behalf. Such a problem is modeled as a Stackelberg game between the principal and the agent, where the principal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Siyu Chen , Jibang Wu , Yifan Wu , Zhuoran Yang

Social choice has become a foundational component of modern machine learning systems. From auctions and resource allocation to the alignment of large generative models, machine learning pipelines increasingly aggregate heterogeneous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Zhiyu An , Wan Du

Existing alignment methods directly use the reward model learned from user preference data to optimize an LLM policy, subject to KL regularization with respect to the base policy. This practice is suboptimal for maximizing user's utility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Haichuan Wang , Tao Lin , Lingkai Kong , Ce Li , Hezi Jiang , Milind Tambe

Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Ezra Karger , Houtan Bastani , Chen Yueh-Han , Zachary Jacobs , Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Philip E. Tetlock

Recommender systems (RS) mediate human experience online. Most RS act to optimize metrics that are imperfectly aligned with the best-interest of users but are easy to measure, like ad-clicks and user engagement. This has resulted in a host…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Francisco Carvalho

In settings where full incentive-compatibility is not available, such as core-constraint combinatorial auctions and budget-balanced combinatorial exchanges, we may wish to design mechanisms that are as incentive-compatible as possible. This…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Benjamin Lubin

Decision-making problems can be modeled as combinatorial optimization problems with Constraint Programming formalisms such as Constrained Optimization Problems. However, few Constraint Programming formalisms can deal with both optimization…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Valentin Antuori , Florian Richoux

Rankings are ubiquitous in the online world today. As we have transitioned from finding books in libraries to ranking products, jobs, job applicants, opinions and potential romantic partners, there is a substantial precedent that ranking…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-10-18 Ashudeep Singh , Thorsten Joachims

We study online alignment of large language models under misspecified preference feedback, where the observed preference oracle deviates from an ideal but unknown ground-truth oracle. The online LLM alignment problem is a bi-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Zimeng Li , Mudit Gaur , Vaneet Aggarwal

A leading proposal for aligning artificial superintelligence (ASI) is to use AI agents to automate an increasing fraction of alignment research as capabilities improve. We argue that, even when research agents are not scheming to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Aleksandr Bowkis , Marie Davidsen Buhl , Jacob Pfau , Geoffrey Irving

The AI alignment problem, which focusses on ensuring that artificial intelligence (AI), including AGI and ASI, systems act according to human values, presents profound challenges. With the progression from narrow AI to Artificial General…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Alberto Hernández-Espinosa , Felipe S. Abrahão , Olaf Witkowski , Hector Zenil

Prediction markets provide an efficient means to assess uncertain quantities from forecasters. Traditional and competitive strictly proper scoring rules have been shown to incentivize players to provide truthful probabilistic forecasts.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-20 SangIn Chun , Ross D. Shachter

Many important multiple-objective decision problems can be cast within the framework of ranking under constraints and solved via a weighted bipartite matching linear program. Some of these optimization problems, such as personalized content…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Yegor Tkachenko , Wassim Dhaouadi , Kamel Jedidi

The burgeoning integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into human society brings forth significant implications for societal governance and safety. While considerable strides have been made in addressing AI alignment challenges,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zhaowei Zhang , Fengshuo Bai , Mingzhi Wang , Haoyang Ye , Chengdong Ma , Yaodong Yang

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across diverse tasks, but their ability to forecast future events remains understudied. A year ago, large language models struggle to come close to the accuracy of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Janna Lu