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Time series forecasting is a challenging problem particularly when a time series expresses multiple seasonality, nonlinear trend and varying variance. In this work, to forecast complex time series, we propose ensemble learning which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Grzegorz Dudek

In hydrology, modeling streamflow remains a challenging task due to the limited availability of basin characteristics information such as soil geology and geomorphology. These characteristics may be noisy due to measurement errors or may be…

We propose a framework for speeding up maximum flow computation by using predictions. A prediction is a flow, i.e., an assignment of non-negative flow values to edges, which satisfies the flow conservation property, but does not necessarily…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Adam Polak , Maksym Zub

Process optimization in chemical engineering may be hindered by the limited availability of reliable thermodynamic data for fluid mixtures. Remarkable progress is being made in predicting thermodynamic mixture properties by machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Martin Bubel , Tobias Seidel , Michael Bortz

Intensifying climate change will lead to more extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall and drought. Accurate stream flow prediction models which are adaptable and robust to new circumstances in a changing climate will be an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Aleksis Pirinen , Olof Mogren , Mårten Västerdal

High Mountain Asia (HMA) holds the highest concentration of frozen water outside the polar regions, serving as a crucial water source for more than 1.9 billion people. Precipitation represents the largest source of uncertainty for future…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Kenza Tazi , Sun Woo P. Kim , Marc Girona-Mata , Richard E. Turner

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Efficient irrigation management is crucial to agriculture, forestry and horticulture, especially under climate change. Developments in novel sensors and Internet of Things technology provide an opportunity to carry out real-time monitoring…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-13 Mengyi Gong , Rebecca Killick , Andrew Hirons

Machine learning models can achieve high predictive accuracy in hydrological applications but often lack physical interpretability. The Mass-Conserving Perceptron (MCP) provides a physics-aware artificial intelligence (AI) framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Mohammad A. Farmani , Hoshin V. Gupta , Ali Behrangi , Muhammad Jawad , Sadaf Moghisi , Guo-Yue Niu

The conditional generative adversarial rainfall model "cGAN" developed for the UK \cite{Harris22} was trained to post-process into an ensemble and downscale ERA5 rainfall to 1km resolution over three regions of the USA and the UK. Relative…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-28 Fenwick C. Cooper , Andrew T. T. McRae , Matthew Chantry , Bobby Antonio , Tim N. Palmer

We demonstrate that machine learning enables the capability to infer an individual's propensity to vote from their past actions and attributes. This is useful for microtargeting voter outreach, voter education and get-out-the-vote (GOVT)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-15 Rebecca D. Pollard , Sara M. Pollard , Scott Streit

Subseasonal forecasting -- predicting temperature and precipitation 2 to 6 weeks ahead -- is critical for effective water allocation, wildfire management, and drought and flood mitigation. Recent international research efforts have advanced…

The field of fluid mechanics is rapidly advancing, driven by unprecedented volumes of data from field measurements, experiments and large-scale simulations at multiple spatiotemporal scales. Machine learning offers a wealth of techniques to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-02-19 Steven Brunton , Bernd Noack , Petros Koumoutsakos

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

This study investigated an approach to improve the accuracy of computationally lightweight surrogate models by updating forecasts based on historical accuracy relative to sparse observation data. Using a lightweight, ocean-wave forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-23 Fearghal O'Donncha , Yushan Zhang , Bei Chen , Scott c. James

Accumulated precipitation forecasts are of high socioeconomic importance for agriculturally dominated societies in northern tropical Africa. In this study, we analyze the performance of nine operational global ensemble prediction systems…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-16 Peter Vogel , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink , Andreas Schlueter , Tilmann Gneiting

To operate process engineering systems in a safe and reliable manner, predictive models are often used in decision making. In many cases, these are mechanistic first principles models which aim to accurately describe the process. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Timur Bikmukhametov , Johannes Jäschke

In the context of an increasing popularity of data-driven models to represent dynamical systems, many machine learning-based implementations of the Koopman operator have recently been proposed. However, the vast majority of those works are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Anthony Frion , Lucas Drumetz , Guillaume Tochon , Mauro Dalla Mura , Albdeldjalil Aïssa El Bey

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) is the prediction of key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation on the 2-week to 2-month time horizon. Skillful SSF would have substantial societal value in areas such as agricultural…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-12 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Laurie Trenary , Benjamin A Cash , Timothy DelSole , Arindam Banerjee

In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Stefan Wolff , Fearghal O'Donncha , Bei Chen