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Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

Machine and statistical learning algorithms can be reliably automated and applied at scale. Therefore, they can constitute a considerable asset for designing practical forecasting systems, such as those related to urban water demand.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

Streamflow, as a natural phenomenon, is continuous in time and so are the meteorological variables which influence its variability. In practice, it can be of interest to forecast the whole flow curve instead of points (daily or hourly). To…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-20 Pierre Masselot , Sophie Dabo-Niang , Fateh Chebana , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Sojung An , Junha Lee , Jiyeon Jang , Inchae Na , Wooyeon Park , Sujeong You

In this work, we propose an ensemble forecasting approach based on randomized neural networks. Improved randomized learning streamlines the fitting abilities of individual learners by generating network parameters in accordance with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

To be able to produce accurate and reliable predictions of visibility has crucial importance in aviation meteorology, as well as in water- and road transportation. Nowadays, several meteorological services provide ensemble forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-25 Sándor Baran , Mária Lakatos

We demonstrate several techniques to encourage practical uses of neural networks for fluid flow estimation. In the present paper, three perspectives which are remaining challenges for applications of machine learning to fluid dynamics are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-19 Masaki Morimoto , Kai Fukami , Kai Zhang , Koji Fukagata

This paper explores the potential of a hybrid modeling approach that combines machine learning (ML) with conventional physics-based modeling for weather prediction beyond the medium range. It extends the work of Arcomano et al. (2022),…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-28 Dhruvit Patel , Troy Arcomano , Brian Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Edward Ott

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Groundwater supports ecosystems, agriculture, and drinking water supplies worldwide, yet effective monitoring remains challenging due to sparse data, computational constraints, and delayed outputs from traditional approaches. We develop a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-04 Chuan Li , Ruoxuan Yang

Heavy precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) may result in disasters, such as floods and landslides, leading to substantial economic damage and loss of life. Prediction of TC precipitation based on ensemble post-processing procedures…

Platform businesses operate on a digital core and their decision making requires high-dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (e.g., geographical regions) and temporal aggregation (e.g., minutes to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-03 Jeroen Rombouts , Marie Ternes , Ines Wilms

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting. Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) model that recursively predicts key atmospheric variables with six-hour time resolution. This model uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-10 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana , Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay

Amounts of historical data collected increase and business intelligence applicability with automatic forecasting of time series are in high demand. While no single time series modeling method is universal to all types of dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Evaldas Vaiciukynas , Paulius Danenas , Vilius Kontrimas , Rimantas Butleris

Techniques of hybridisation and ensemble learning are popular model fusion techniques for improving the predictive power of forecasting methods. With limited research that instigates combining these two promising approaches, this paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Pieter Cawood , Terence van Zyl

Urban rail transit provides significant comprehensive benefits such as large traffic volume and high speed, serving as one of the most important components of urban traffic construction management and congestion solution. Using real…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Yiming Hu , Yangchuan Huang , Shuying Liu , Yuanyang Qi , Danhui Bai

Machine learning has been increasingly applied in climate modeling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting, and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale…