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Uncertainty-based deep learning models have attracted a great deal of interest for their ability to provide accurate and reliable predictions. Evidential deep learning stands out achieving remarkable performance in detecting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Eduardo Aguilar , Bogdan Raducanu , Petia Radeva , Joost Van de Weijer

Accurate prediction of extreme weather events remains a major challenge for artificial intelligence-based weather prediction systems. While deterministic models such as FuXi, GraphCast, and SFNO have achieved competitive forecast skill…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 Rodrigo Almeida , Noelia Otero , Miguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres , Jackie Ma

Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major challenges for prediction and risk management. Existing studies…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Marios Andreou

Recent work has focused on data-driven learning of the evolution of unknown systems via deep neural networks (DNNs), with the goal of conducting long time prediction of the evolution of the unknown system. Training a DNN with low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Victor Churchill , Steve Manns , Zhen Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Extreme events gain the attention of researchers due to their utmost importance in various contexts ranging from finance to climatology. This brings such recurrent events to the limelight of attention in interdisciplinary research. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Recently, there has been a growing interest in applying machine learning methods to problems in engineering mechanics. In particular, there has been significant interest in applying deep learning techniques to predicting the mechanical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Saeed Mohammadzadeh , Peerasait Prachaseree , Emma Lejeune

Atmospheric turbulence degrades the performance of free-space optical (FSO) communication and remote sensing systems by introducing phase and intensity distortions. While a majority of research focuses on mitigating these effects to ensure…

As IoT networks become more complex and generate massive amounts of dynamic data, it is difficult to monitor and detect anomalies using traditional statistical methods and machine learning methods. Deep learning algorithms can process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Mei Liu , Leon Yang

Augmenting mechanistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) models with machine-learnable structures is an novel approach to create highly accurate, low-dimensional models of engineering systems incorporating both expert knowledge and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Sandor Beregi , David A. W. Barton , Djamel Rezgui , Simon A. Neild

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are often employed to calculate dynamic individualized predictions used in numerous applications of precision medicine. Two components of joint models that influence the accuracy of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Dimitris Rizopoulos , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Loss reserving generally focuses on identifying a single model that can generate superior predictive performance. However, different loss reserving models specialise in capturing different aspects of loss data. This is recognised in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Benjamin Avanzi , Yanfeng Li , Bernard Wong , Alan Xian

Training data-driven turbulence models with high fidelity Reynolds stress can be impractical and recently such models have been trained with velocity and pressure measurements. For gradient-based optimization, such as training deep learning…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-19 Carlos A. Michelén Ströfer , Xin-Lei Zhang , Heng Xiao

Deep learning has emerged as a technique of choice for rapid feature extraction across imaging disciplines, allowing rapid conversion of the data streams to spatial or spatiotemporal arrays of features of interest. However, applications of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-25 Ayana Ghosh , Bobby G. Sumpter , Ondrej Dyck , Sergei V. Kalinin , Maxim Ziatdinov

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

This work addresses the data-driven forecasting of extreme events in the airfoil flow. These events may be seen as examples of the kind of unsteady and intermittent dynamics relevant to the flow around airfoils and wings in a variety of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-14 Benedikt Barthel , Themistoklis Sapsis

Wildfires are highly imbalanced natural hazards in both space and severity, making the prediction of extreme events particularly challenging. In this work, we introduce the first ordinal classification framework for forecasting wildfire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Nicolas Caron , Christophe Guyeux , Hassan Noura , Benjamin Aynes

Although deep learning-based methods have shown great success in spatiotemporal predictive learning, the framework of those models is designed mainly by intuition. How to make spatiotemporal forecasting with theoretical guarantees is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Tongyi Liang , Han-Xiong Li

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

Agriculture is increasingly challenged by climate change, soil degradation, and resource depletion, and hence requires advanced data-driven crop classification and recommendation solutions. This work presents an explainable ensemble…