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Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

Unsupervised ensemble learning emerged to address the challenge of combining multiple learners' predictions without access to ground truth labels or additional data. This paradigm is crucial in scenarios where evaluating individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Ariel Maymon , Yanir Buznah , Uri Shaham

Seismic data often contain gaps due to various obstacles in the investigated area and recording instrument failures. Deep learning techniques offer promising solutions for reconstructing missing data parts by leveraging existing…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-04-04 Mohammad Mahdi Abedi , David Pardo , Tariq Alkhalifah

We develop a computational framework for deriving Pareto-improving and constrained optimal carbon tax rules in a stochastic overlapping generations (OLG) model with climate change. By integrating Deep Equilibrium Networks for fast policy…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-03 Felix Kübler , Simon Scheidegger , Oliver Surbek

Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While L\'evy stable distributions offer a natural framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are an emerging class of deep learning models for dynamical systems. They are particularly useful for learning an ODE vector field from observed trajectories (i.e., inverse problems). We here…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Katharina Ott , Michael Tiemann , Philipp Hennig

Recent work in distance metric learning has focused on learning transformations of data that best align with specified pairwise similarity and dissimilarity constraints, often supplied by a human observer. The learned transformations lead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-11 Kristjan Greenewald , Stephen Kelley , Brandon Oselio , Alfred O. Hero

Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals' planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Donlapark Ponnoprat

Traffic forecasting is vital for Intelligent Transportation Systems, for which Machine Learning (ML) methods have been extensively explored to develop data-driven Artificial Intelligence (AI) solutions. Recent research focuses on modelling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Xiao Zheng , Saeed Asadi Bagloee , Majid Sarvi

Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang

We propose a data-driven framework for learning reduced-order moment dynamics from PDE-governed systems using Neural ODEs. In contrast to derivative-based methods like SINDy, which necessitate densely sampled data and are sensitive to…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-06-06 Shaoxuan Chen , Su Yang , Panayotis G. Kevrekidis , Wei Zhu

The problem of classifying turbulent environments from partial observation is key for some theoretical and applied fields, from engineering to earth observation and astrophysics, e.g. to precondition searching of optimal control policies in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-19 Michele Buzzicotti , Fabio Bonaccorso

In an era defined by rapid data evolution, traditional Machine Learning (ML) models often struggle to adapt to dynamic environments. Evolving Machine Learning (EML) has emerged as a pivotal paradigm, enabling continuous learning and…

Predicting extreme events in chaotic systems, characterized by rare but intensely fluctuating properties, is of great importance due to their impact on the performance and reliability of a wide range of systems. Some examples include…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-06-17 Yuan Yuan , Adrian Lozano Duran

To enhance the accuracy of power load forecasting in wind farms, this study introduces an advanced combined forecasting method that integrates Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with an Improved Particle Swarm Optimization (IPSO)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Qiang Xie

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

Extreme learning machine (ELM) as a neural network algorithm has shown its good performance, such as fast speed, simple structure etc, but also, weak robustness is an unavoidable defect in original ELM for blended data. We present a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-24 Bo Han , Bo He , Rui Nian , Mengmeng Ma , Shujing Zhang , Minghui Li , Amaury Lendasse

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan

Extreme weather events have an enormous impact on society and are expected to become more frequent and severe with climate change. In this context, resilience planning becomes crucial for risk mitigation and coping with these extreme…

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