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This paper uses model symmetries in the instrumental variable (IV) regression to derive an invariant test for the causal structural parameter. Contrary to popular belief, we show that there exist model symmetries when equation errors are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-02 Marcelo J. Moreira , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi , Geert Ridder

Spatial regression models have a variety of applications in several fields ranging from economics to public health. Typically, it is of interest to select important exogenous predictors of the spatially autocorrelated response variable. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Sagar Pandhare , Divya Kappara , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

The statistical analysis of measurement data has become a key component of many quantum engineering experiments. As standard full state tomography becomes unfeasible for large dimensional quantum systems, one needs to exploit prior…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-11-27 Madalin Guta , Theodore Kypraios , Ian Dryden

The fate of scientific hypotheses often relies on the ability of a computational model to explain the data, quantified in modern statistical approaches by the likelihood function. The log-likelihood is the key element for parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Bas van Opheusden , Luigi Acerbi , Wei Ji Ma

A bias correction to Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is derived for seemingly unrelated regressions models. The correction is of particular use when the sample size is not much larger than the number of fitted parameters. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-05 J. L. van Velsen

Any supervised machine learning analysis is required to provide an estimate of the out-of-sample predictive performance. However, it is imperative to also provide a quantification of the uncertainty of this performance in the form of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Konstantinos Paraschakis , Andrea Castellani , Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

The Integrated Completed Likelihood (ICL) criterion has been proposed by Biernacki et al. (2000) in the model-based clustering framework to select a relevant number of classes and has been used by statisticians in various application areas.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-01 Jean-Patrick Baudry

Robust decision making involves making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and is often used in critical domains such as healthcare, supply chains, and finance. Causality plays a crucial role in decision-making as it predicts the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Saideep Nannapaneni , Joseph Sakaya , Kyle Caron , Pedro HM Albuquerque , Zaid Tashman

Selecting the number of regimes in Hidden Markov models is an important problem. There are many criteria that are used to select this number, such as Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC), integrated…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Bouchra R Nasri , Bruno N Rémillard , Mamadou Y Thioub

In the context of a linear model with a sparse coefficient vector, exponential weights methods have been shown to be achieve oracle inequalities for prediction. We show that such methods also succeed at variable selection and estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Ery Arias-Castro , Karim Lounici

This paper provides a review of model selection and model averaging methods for multinomial probit models estimated using the MACML approach. The proposed approaches are partitioned into test based methods (mostly derived from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Manuel Batram , Dietmar Bauer

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

High-dimensional linear and nonlinear models have been extensively used to identify associations between response and explanatory variables. The variable selection problem is commonly of interest in the presence of massive and complex data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Vitara Pungpapong , Min Zhang , Dabao Zhang

The Linear Ballistic Accumulator (Brown & Heathcote, 2008) model is used as a measurement tool to answer questions about applied psychology. The analyses based on this model depend upon the model selected and its estimated parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 David Gunawan , Guy E. Hawkins , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn , Scott Brown

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

Smoothed AIC (S-AIC) and Smoothed BIC (S-BIC) are very widely used in model averaging and are very easily to implement. Especially, the optimal model averaging method MMA and JMA have only been well developed in linear models. Only by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Miaomiao Wang , Xinyu Zhang , Alan T. K. Wan , Guohua Zou

A popular model selection approach for generalized linear mixed-effects models is the Akaike information criterion, or AIC. Among others, \cite{vaida05} pointed out the distinction between the marginal and conditional inference depending on…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-10-14 Heng Lian

We propose a penalized likelihood method to fit the bivariate categorical response regression model. Our method allows practitioners to estimate which predictors are irrelevant, which predictors only affect the marginal distributions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman
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