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Censuses are fundamental building blocks of most modern-day societies, yet collected every ten years at best. We propose an extension of the widely popular census updating technique Structure Preserving Estimation by incorporating auxiliary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-24 Till Koebe , Alejandra Arias-Salazar , Natalia Rojas-Perilla , Timo Schmid

Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the population at…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Monica Alexander , Leontine Alkema

Fine resolution estimates of demographic and socioeconomic attributes are crucial for planning and policy development. While several efforts have been made to produce fine-scale gridded population estimates, socioeconomic features are…

Knowledge of population distribution is critical for building infrastructure, distributing resources, and monitoring the progress of sustainable development goals. Although censuses can provide this information, they are typically conducted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Isaac Neal , Sohan Seth , Gary Watmough , Mamadou S. Diallo

Reliable and frequent population estimation is key for making policies around vaccination and planning infrastructure delivery. Since censuses lack the spatio-temporal resolution required for these tasks, census-independent approaches,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Isaac Neal , Sohan Seth , Gary Watmough , Mamadou Saliou Diallo

Many countries conduct a full census survey to report official population statistics. As no census survey ever achieves 100 per cent response rate, a post-enumeration survey (PES) is usually conducted and analysed to assess census coverage…

The original version of Bayesian reconstruction, a method for estimating age-specific fertility, mortality, migration and population counts of the recent past with uncertainty, produced estimates for female-only populations. Here we show…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-30 Mark C. Wheldon , Adrian E. Raftery , Samuel J. Clark , Patrick Gerland

High resolution datasets of population density which accurately map sparsely-distributed human populations do not exist at a global scale. Typically, population data is obtained using censuses and statistical modeling. More recently,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Tobias G. Tiecke , Xianming Liu , Amy Zhang , Andreas Gros , Nan Li , Gregory Yetman , Talip Kilic , Siobhan Murray , Brian Blankespoor , Espen B. Prydz , Hai-Anh H. Dang

Family planning is a global development priority and a key indicator of reproductive health. Monitoring progress is challenged by gaps in survey data across countries. The United Nations Population Division addresses this with the Family…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-20 Oluwayomi Akinfenwa , Niamh Cahill , Catherine Hurley

Since the 1940s, population projections have in most cases been produced using the deterministic cohort component method. However, in 2015, for the first time, in a major advance, the United Nations issued official probabilistic population…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-15 Peiran Liu , Adrian E. Raftery

Accurate and timely population data are essential for disaster response and humanitarian planning, but traditional censuses often cannot capture rapid demographic changes. Social media data offer a promising alternative for dynamic…

To better understand current trends of urban population growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, high-quality spatiotemporal population estimates are necessary. While the joint use of remote sensing and deep learning has achieved promising results for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Sebastian Hafner , Stefanos Georganos , Theodomir Mugiraneza , Yifang Ban

In low and middle income countries, household surveys are a valuable source of information for a range of health and demographic indicators. Increasingly, subnational estimates are required for targeting interventions and evaluating…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Katie Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Small area population estimates are useful for decision making in the private and public sectors. However, in small areas (i.e., those that are difficult to reach and with small population sizes) computing demographic quantities is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jairo Fúquene , Andryu Mendoza , Cesar Cristancho , Mariana Ospina

Reliable mortality estimates at the subnational level are essential in the study of health inequalities within a country. One of the difficulties in producing such estimates is the presence of small populations, where the stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-05 Monica Alexander , Emilio Zagheni , Magali Barbieri

Population estimation is crucial for various applications, from resource allocation to urban planning. Traditional methods such as surveys and censuses are expensive, time-consuming and also heavily dependent on human resources, requiring…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Jai Singla , Peal Jotania , Keivalya Pandya

The sampling frame in most social science surveys excludes members of certain groups, known as hard-to-reach groups. These groups, or subpopulations, may be difficult to access (the homeless, e.g.), camouflaged by stigma (individuals with…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Tyler H. McCormick , Tian Zheng

Knowing where people live is a fundamental component of many decision making processes such as urban development, infectious disease containment, evacuation planning, risk management, conservation planning, and more. While bottom-up, survey…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Caleb Robinson , Fred Hohman , Bistra Dilkina

We analyze binary data, available for a relatively large number (big data) of families (or households), which are within small areas, from a population-based survey. Inference is required for the finite population proportion of individuals…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-04 Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen , Shuting Fu , Binod Manandhar

We propose a hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate the proportional contribution of source populations to a newly founded colony. Samples are derived from the first generation offspring in the colony, but mating may occur preferentially…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Feng Guo , Dipak K. Dey , Kent E. Holsinger
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