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This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

Detailed estimates of migration stocks and flows provides evidence for understanding population dynamics, and the impact of economic and political changes that influence migration. Using data from the 2000 decennial census and 2001-2016…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-06 Nicolas A Menzies

Estimates of population size for hidden and hard-to-reach individuals are of particular interest to health officials when health problems are concentrated in such populations. Efforts to derive these estimates are often frustrated by a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Kirk Dombrowski

The Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET) is used in low- and middle-income countries to produce estimates and short-term forecasts of family planning indicators, such as modern contraceptive use and unmet need for contraceptives.…

Fine population distribution both in space and in time is crucial for epidemic management, disaster prevention,urban planning and more. Human mobility data have a great potential for mapping population distribution at a high level of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Xiang Liu , Philo Pöllmann

Capture-recapture methods aim to estimate the size of a closed population on the basis of multiple incomplete enumerations of individuals. In many applications, the individual probability of being recorded is heterogeneous in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 James E. Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Daniel Manrique-Vallier

We propose and illustrate a hierarchical Bayesian approach for matching statistical records observed on different occasions. We show how this model can be profitably adopted both in record linkage problems and in capture--recapture setups,…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-29 Andrea Tancredi , Brunero Liseo

Household survey data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program is published with GPS coordinates. However, almost all geostatistical analyses of such data ignore that the published GPS coordinates are randomly displaced…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-05 Umut Altay , John Paige , Andrea Riebler , Geir-Arne Fuglstad

Population size estimates for hidden and hard-to-reach populations are particularly important when members are known to suffer from disproportion health issues or to pose health risks to the larger ambient population in which they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Ian Fellows , Kirk Dombrowski

About half of the world population already live in urban areas. It is projected that by 2050, approximately 70% of the world population will live in cities. In addition to this, most developing countries do not have reliable population…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-12-21 V. E. Irekponor , M. Abdul-Rahman , M. Agunbiade , A. J. Bustamente

Admixture models are a ubiquitous approach to capture latent population structure in genetic samples. Despite the widespread application of admixture models, little thought has been devoted to the quality of the model fit or the accuracy of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-12 David Mimno , David M Blei , Barbara E Engelhardt

Undernutrition, resulting in restricted growth, and quantified here using height-for-age z-scores, is an important contributor to childhood morbidity and mortality. Since all levels of mild, moderate and severe undernutrition are of…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-08 Mariel M. Finucane , Christopher J. Paciorek , Gretchen A. Stevens , Majid Ezzati

Fertility differentials by urban-rural residence and nativity of women in Australia significantly impact population composition at sub-national levels. We aim to provide consistent fertility forecasts for Australian women characterized by…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-25 Yang Yang , Han Lin Shang , James Raymer

In low- and middle-income countries, household surveys are the most reliable data source to examine health and demographic indicators at the subnational level, an exercise in small area estimation. Model-based unit-level models are favored…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-23 Yunhan Wu , Jon Wakefield

Despite of the great efforts during the censuses, occurrence of some nonsampling errors such as coverage error is inevitable. Coverage error which can be classified into two types of under-count and overcount occurs when there is no unique…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Sepideh Mosaferi

Since the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), many contact surveys have been conducted to measure changes in human interactions in the face of the pandemic and non-pharmaceutical interventions. These…

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Census data provide detailed information about population characteristics at a coarse resolution. Nevertheless, fine-grained, high-resolution mappings of population counts are increasingly needed to characterize population dynamics and to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Guillaume Derval , Frédéric Docquier , Pierre Schaus

Background: Many different simulation frameworks, in different topics, need to treat realistic datasets to initialize and calibrate the system. A precise reproduction of initial states is extremely important to obtain reliable forecast from…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Floriana Gargiulo , Sonia Ternes , Sylvie Huet , Guillaume Deffuant

Census 2021 may well be the last of its kind in the UK. For provision of population statistics in the immediate years following 2021, the basic scheme currently envisaged is to supplement available administrate data with a continuous…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-08 Li-Chun Zhang