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Dynamical systems provide a comprehensive way to study complex and changing behaviors across various sciences. Many modern systems are too complicated to analyze directly or we do not have access to models, driving significant interest in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Matthew J. Colbrook , Igor Mezić , Alexei Stepanenko

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting has gained attention for its ability to provide nonlinear approximation and valuable uncertainty quantification for decision-making. However, existing models often oversimplify the problem by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Seongjin Choi , Lijun Sun

The Koopman operator and its data-driven approximations, such as extended dynamic mode decomposition (EDMD), are widely used for analysing, modelling, and controlling nonlinear dynamical systems. However, when the true Koopman…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Roland Schurig , Pieter van Goor , Karl Worthmann , Rolf Findeisen

The Koopman operator provides a principled framework for analyzing nonlinear dynamical systems through linear operator theory. Recent advances in dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) have shown that trajectory data can be used to identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Minchan Jeong , J. Jon Ryu , Se-Young Yun , Gregory W. Wornell

Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) are commonly employed for time series analysis due to their versatile structure, simple recursive updating, ability to handle missing data, and probabilistic forecasting. However, the options for count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Brian King , Daniel R. Kowal

Koopman representations aim to learn features of nonlinear dynamical systems (NLDS) which lead to linear dynamics in the latent space. Theoretically, such features can be used to simplify many problems in modeling and control of NLDS. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Mahan Fathi , Clement Gehring , Jonathan Pilault , David Kanaa , Pierre-Luc Bacon , Ross Goroshin

Koopman-based modeling and model predictive control have been a promising alternative for optimal control of nonlinear processes. Good Koopman modeling performance significantly depends on an appropriate nonlinear mapping from the original…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-06 Zhaoyang Li , Minghao Han , Dat-Nguyen Vo , Xunyuan Yin

Koopman operators provide a linear framework for data-driven analyses of nonlinear dynamical systems, but their infinite-dimensional nature presents major computational challenges. In this article, we offer an introductory guide to Koopman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Matthew J. Colbrook , Zlatko Drmač , Andrew Horning

Intermittent demand, where demand occurrences appear sporadically in time, is a common and challenging problem in forecasting. In this paper, we first make the connections between renewal processes, and a collection of current models used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Ali Caner Turkmen , Yuyang Wang , Tim Januschowski

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Data-driven approximations of the Koopman operator are promising for predicting the time evolution of systems characterized by complex dynamics. Among these methods, the approach known as extended dynamic mode decomposition with dictionary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Soft robots, compared to regular rigid robots, as their multiple segments with soft materials bring flexibility and compliance, have the advantages of safe interaction and dexterous operation in the environment. However, due to its…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Lei Lv , Lei Liu , Lei Bao , Fuchun Sun , Jiahong Dong , Jianwei Zhang , Xuemei Shan , Kai Sun , Hao Huang , Yu Luo

A data-driven, model-free approach to modeling the temporal evolution of physical systems mitigates the need for explicit knowledge of the governing equations. Even when physical priors such as partial differential equations are available,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Siyuan Chen , Zhecheng Wang , Yixin Chen , Yue Chang , Peter Yichen Chen , Eitan Grinspun , Jonathan Panuelos

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in science and engineering, yet analysis and prediction of these systems remains a challenge. Koopman operator theory circumvents some of these issues by considering the dynamics in the space of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Mason Kamb , Eurika Kaiser , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We propose a framework for general probabilistic multi-step time series regression. Specifically, we exploit the expressiveness and temporal nature of Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networks (e.g. recurrent and convolutional structures), the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Ruofeng Wen , Kari Torkkola , Balakrishnan Narayanaswamy , Dhruv Madeka

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Koopman operators linearize nonlinear dynamical systems, making their spectral information of crucial interest. Numerous algorithms have been developed to approximate these spectral properties, and Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) stands…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Matthew J. Colbrook , Qin Li , Ryan V. Raut , Alex Townsend

In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm for learning the Koopman operator of a dynamical system from a \textit{small} amount of training data. In many applications of data-driven modeling, e.g. biological network modeling,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Subhrajit Sinha , Umesh Vaidya , Enoch Yeung

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin
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