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Autonomous driving has attracted lots of attention in recent years. An accurate vehicle dynamics is important for autonomous driving techniques, e.g. trajectory prediction, motion planning, and control of trajectory tracking. Although…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-11 Yongqian Xiao

We propose deep Koopman-layered models with learnable parameters in the form of Toeplitz matrices for analyzing the transition of the dynamics of time-series data. The proposed model has both theoretical solidness and flexibility. By virtue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Yuka Hashimoto , Tomoharu Iwata

The long-timescale behavior of complex dynamical systems can be described by linear Markov or Koopman models in a suitable latent space. Recent variational approaches allow the latent space representation and the linear dynamical model to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-12-17 Andreas Mardt , Luca Pasquali , Frank Noé , Hao Wu

This paper proposes a Koopman-based framework for modeling, prediction, and control of unknown nonlinear time-varying systems. We present a novel Koopman-based learning method for predicting the state of unknown nonlinear time-varying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-30 Hengde Zhang , Yunxiao Ren , Zhisheng Duan , Zhiyong Sun , Guanrong Chen

The Koopman operator has emerged as a powerful tool for the analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems as it provides coordinate transformations to globally linearize the dynamics. While recent deep learning approaches have been useful in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Shaowu Pan , Karthik Duraisamy

The Distributional Koopman Operator (DKO) is introduced as a way to perform Koopman analysis on random dynamical systems where only aggregate distribution data is available, thereby eliminating the need for particle tracking or detailed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Maria Oprea , Alex Townsend , Yunan Yang

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

In the field of domain generalization, the task of constructing a predictive model capable of generalizing to a target domain without access to target data remains challenging. This problem becomes further complicated when considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Qiuhao Zeng , Wei Wang , Fan Zhou , Gezheng Xu , Ruizhi Pu , Changjian Shui , Christian Gagne , Shichun Yang , Boyu Wang , Charles X. Ling

We propose a neural network-based model for nonlinear dynamics in continuous time that can impose inductive biases on decay rates and/or frequencies. Inductive biases are helpful for training neural networks especially when training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-27 Tomoharu Iwata , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

This paper presents non-parametric baseline models for time series forecasting. Unlike classical forecasting models, the proposed approach does not assume any parametric form for the predictive distribution and instead generates predictions…

Deep time series forecasting has emerged as a rapidly growing field in recent years. Despite the exponential growth of community interests, progress on standard benchmarks is often limited to marginal improvements. A common consensus of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Yuxuan Wang , Haixu Wu , Yuezhou Ma , Yuchen Fang , Ziyi Zhang , Yong Liu , Shiyu Wang , Zhou Ye , Yang Xiang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

We propose a fully data-driven, Koopman-based framework for statistically robust control of discrete-time nonlinear systems with linear embeddings. Establishing a connection between the Koopman operator and contraction theory, it offers…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Koki Hirano , Hiroyasu Tsukamoto

Time series forecasting plays a central role in many real-world applications and has been extensively studied. Most existing approaches rely on deterministic models. However, real-world environments exhibit inherently uncertain and complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Minju Kim , Youngbum Hur

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

In audio signal processing, probabilistic time-frequency models have many benefits over their non-probabilistic counterparts. They adapt to the incoming signal, quantify uncertainty, and measure correlation between the signal's amplitude…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-13 William J. Wilkinson , Michael Riis Andersen , Joshua D. Reiss , Dan Stowell , Arno Solin