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Mobile technology (e.g., mobile phones and wearable devices) provides scalable methods for collecting physiological and behavioral biomarkers in patients' naturalistic settings, as well as opportunities for therapeutic advancements and…

Selective state-space models (SSMs) are an emerging alternative to the Transformer, offering the unique advantage of parallel training and sequential inference. Although these models have shown promising performance on a variety of tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Aleksandar Terzić , Michael Hersche , Giacomo Camposampiero , Thomas Hofmann , Abu Sebastian , Abbas Rahimi

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

The spatial autoregressive (SAR) model is extended by introducing a Markov switching dynamics for the weight matrix and spatial autoregressive parameter. The framework enables the identification of regime-specific connectivity patterns and…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-31 Christian Glocker , Matteo Iacopini , Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

The recent success of State-Space Models (SSMs) in sequence modeling has motivated their adaptation to graph learning, giving rise to Graph State-Space Models (GSSMs). However, existing GSSMs operate by applying SSM modules to sequences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Andrea Ceni , Alessio Gravina , Claudio Gallicchio , Davide Bacciu , Carola-Bibiane Schonlieb , Moshe Eliasof

Subspace identification methods (SIMs) have proven to be very useful and numerically robust for building state-space models. While most SIMs are consistent, few if any can achieve the efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE).…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Jiabao He , S. Joe Qin , Håkan Hjalmarsson

We propose an extension of Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (MS-GAMLSS) that allows covariates to influence not only the parameters of the state-dependent distributions but also the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Katharina Ammann , Timo Adam , Jan-Ole Koslik

Non-equilibrium Markov State Modeling (MSM) has recently been proposed [Phys. Rev. E 94, 053001 (2016)] as a possible route to construct a physical theory of sliding friction from a long steady state atomistic simulation: the approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-17 M. Teruzzi , F. Pellegrini , A. Laio , E. Tosatti

The aim of this paper is to develop a class of spatial transformation models (STM) to spatially model the varying association between imaging measures in a three-dimensional (3D) volume (or 2D surface) and a set of covariates. Our STMs…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-27 Michelle F. Miranda , Hongtu Zhu , Joseph G. Ibrahim

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

Recent studies on analyzing dynamic brain connectivity rely on sliding-window analysis or time-varying coefficient models which are unable to capture both smooth and abrupt changes simultaneously. Emerging evidence suggests state-related…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-04 Chee-Ming Ting , Hernando Ombao , S. Balqis Samdin , Sh-Hussain Salleh

Sequence modeling plays a vital role across various domains, with recurrent neural networks being historically the predominant method of performing these tasks. However, the emergence of transformers has altered this paradigm due to their…

Sequential scaling is a prominent inference-time scaling paradigm, yet its performance improvements are typically modest and not well understood, largely due to the prevalence of heuristic, non-principled approaches that obscure clear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Youkang Wang , Jian Wang , Rubing Chen , Tianyi Zeng , Xiao-Yong Wei , Qing Li

A method is proposed to identify target states that optimize a metastability index amongst a set of trial states and use these target states as milestones (or core sets) to build Markov State Models (MSMs). If the optimized metastability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-03 Enrico Guarnera , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Transition probability estimation plays a critical role in multi-state modeling, especially in clinical research. This paper investigates the application of semi-Markov and Markov renewal frameworks to the EBMT dataset, focusing on six…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-05 Elvis Han Cui

Non-homogeneous hidden Markov models (NHHMM) are a subclass of dependent mixture models used for semi-supervised learning, where both transition probabilities between the latent states and mean parameter of the probability distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-23 Aliaksandr Hubin

Treatment switching is a common occurrence in the management of Multiple Sclerosis (MS), where patients transition across various disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) due to heterogeneous treatment responses, differences in disease…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Beomchang Kim , Zongqi Xia , Priyam Das

Existing models encounter bottlenecks in balancing performance and computational efficiency when modeling long sequences. Although the state space model (SSM) has achieved remarkable success in handling long sequence tasks, it still faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Tongyi Liang , Han-Xiong Li

In this paper we propose two behavioral distances that support approximate reasoning on Stochastic Markov Models (SMMs), that are continuous-time stochastic transition systems where the residence time on each state is described by a generic…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-26 Giorgio Bacci , Giovanni Bacci , Kim G. Larsen , Radu Mardare

State space models (SSMs) are widely used to describe dynamic systems. However, when the likelihood of the observations is intractable, parameter inference for SSMs cannot be easily carried out using standard Markov chain Monte Carlo or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-21 Zhaoran Hou , Samuel W. K. Wong
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