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This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

We present a novel framework for learning cost-efficient latent representations in problems with high-dimensional state spaces through nonlinear dimension reduction. By enriching linear state approximations with low-order polynomial terms…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Rudy Geelen , Laura Balzano , Karen Willcox

We propose Active Surrogate Estimators (ASEs), a new method for label-efficient model evaluation. Evaluating model performance is a challenging and important problem when labels are expensive. ASEs address this active testing problem using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Jannik Kossen , Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal , Tom Rainforth

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

Solving optimization problems with unknown parameters often requires learning a predictive model to predict the values of the unknown parameters and then solving the problem using these values. Recent work has shown that including the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Kai Wang , Bryan Wilder , Andrew Perrault , Milind Tambe

Systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) require computationally intensive numerical solvers to predict spatiotemporal field evolution. While machine learning (ML) surrogates offer faster solutions, autoregressive inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Ishan Khurjekar , Indrashish Saha , Lori Graham-Brady , Somdatta Goswami

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are powerful generative models for learning latent representations. Standard VAEs generate dispersed and unstructured latent spaces by utilizing all dimensions, which limits their interpretability, especially…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Farshad Sangari Abiz , Reshad Hosseini , Babak N. Araabi

Computer simulation has become the standard tool in many engineering fields for designing and optimizing systems, as well as for assessing their reliability. To cope with demanding analysis such as optimization and reliability, surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-16 R. Schoebi , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

We propose an active learning method for discovering low-dimensional structure in high-dimensional Gaussian process (GP) tasks. Such problems are increasingly frequent and important, but have hitherto presented severe practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-28 Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne , Philipp Hennig

Surrogates in lieu of expensive-to-evaluate performance functions can accelerate the reliability analysis greatly. This paper proposes a new two-stage framework for surrogate-aided reliability analysis named Surrogates for Importance…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-01-29 Wang-Sheng Liu , Sai Hung Cheung , Wen-Jun Cao

This work proposes a method for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of high-dimensional stochastic functions based on non-adapted random sampling. We modify the standard l1 -minimization algorithm, originally proposed in the context…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

In an ever-increasing interest for Machine Learning (ML) and a favorable data development context, we here propose an original methodology for data-based prediction of two-dimensional physical fields. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE),…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-03 Rem-Sophia Mouradi , Cédric Goeury , Olivier Thual , Fabrice Zaoui , Pablo Tassi

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

(Partial) differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental tools for describing natural phenomena, making their solution crucial in science and engineering. While traditional methods, such as the finite element method, provide reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Viggo Moro , Luiz F. O. Chamon

When simulating multiscale stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in high-dimensions, separation of timescales, stochastic noise and high-dimensionality can make simulations prohibitively expensive. The computational cost is dictated by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Miles Crosskey , Mauro Maggioni

We propose a multifidelity dimension reduction method to identify a low-dimensional structure present in many engineering models. The structure of interest arises when functions vary primarily on a low-dimensional subspace of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Rémi Lam , Olivier Zahm , Youssef Marzouk , Karen Willcox

Dimension reduction techniques have long been an important topic in statistics, and active subspaces (AS) have received much attention this past decade in the computer experiments literature. The most common approach towards estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Kellin N. Rumsey , Devin Francom , Scott Vander Wiel

In dynamical systems reconstruction (DSR) we aim to recover the dynamical system (DS) underlying observed time series. Specifically, we aim to learn a generative surrogate model which approximates the underlying, data-generating DS, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Alena Brändle , Lukas Eisenmann , Florian Götz , Daniel Durstewitz

The estimation of the probability of rare events is an important task in reliability and risk assessment. We consider failure events that are expressed in terms of a limit state function, which depends on the solution of a partial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Fabian Wagner , Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

Semantic segmentation networks (SSNs) are central to safety-critical applications such as medical imaging and autonomous driving, where robustness under uncertainty is essential. However, existing probabilistic verification methods often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Navid Hashemi , Samuel Sasaki , Diego Manzanas Lopez , Lars Lindemann , Ipek Oguz , Meiyi Ma , Taylor T. Johnson
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