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Implementations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods need to confront two fundamental challenges: accurate representation of prior information and efficient evaluation of likelihoods. Principal component analysis (PCA) and related…

Active learning methods have recently surged in the literature due to their ability to solve complex structural reliability problems within an affordable computational cost. These methods are designed by adaptively building an inexpensive…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-08 M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

Overparameterization in deep learning is powerful: Very large models fit the training data perfectly and yet often generalize well. This realization brought back the study of linear models for regression, including ordinary least squares…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-07 Ningyuan Huang , David W. Hogg , Soledad Villar

When repeated evaluations for varying parameter configurations of a high-fidelity physical model are required, surrogate modeling techniques based on model order reduction are desired. In absence of the governing equations describing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Harshit Kapadia , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

The present work addresses the issue of accurate stochastic approximations in high-dimensional parametric space using tools from uncertainty quantification (UQ). The basis adaptation method and its accelerated algorithm in polynomial chaos…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Xiaoshu Zeng , Roger Ghanem

The data-centric construction of inexpensive surrogates for fine-grained, physical models has been at the forefront of computational physics due to its significant utility in many-query tasks such as uncertainty quantification. Recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Maximilian Rixner , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

In recent years, active subspace methods (ASMs) have become a popular means of performing subspace sensitivity analysis on black-box functions. Naively applied, however, ASMs require gradient evaluations of the target function. In the event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-22 Nathan Wycoff , Mickael Binois , Stefan M. Wild

We study two adaptive importance sampling schemes for estimating the probability of a rare event in the high-dimensional regime $d \to \infty$ with $d$ the dimension. The first scheme is the prominent cross-entropy (CE) method, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Jason Beh , Yonatan Shadmi , Florian Simatos

Design-space dimensionality reduction is essential to mitigate the cost of high-fidelity simulation-based optimization, especially when dealing with high-dimensional geometric parameterizations. Traditional linear techniques, such as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Andrea Serani , Giorgio Palma , Jeroen Wackers , Domenico Quagliarella , Stefano Gaggero , Matteo Diez

We present a distributed active subspace method for training surrogate models of complex physical processes with high-dimensional inputs and function valued outputs. Specifically, we represent the model output with a truncated…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-08-09 Hayley Guy , Alen Alexanderian , Meilin Yu

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Distribution System State Estimation (DSSE) is becoming increasingly important with the integration of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) and the active operation of distribution networks (DNs), but it remains challenging due to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 J. G. De la Varga , S. Pineda , A. Stratigakos , J. M. Morales

Surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification tasks for PDE systems are most often considered as supervised learning problems where input and output data pairs are used for training. The construction of such emulators is by definition a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Yinhao Zhu , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Paris Perdikaris

Several pool-based active learning algorithms (AL) were employed to model potential energy surfaces (PESs) with a minimum number of electronic structure calculations. Theoretical and empirical results suggest that superior strategies can be…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-10-27 Yahya Saleh , Vishnu Sanjay , Armin Iske , Andrey Yachmenev , Jochen Küpper

We present a regression technique for data-driven problems based on polynomial chaos expansion (PCE). PCE is a popular technique in the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ), where it is typically used to replace a runnable but expensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

Complex engineering models are typically computationally demanding and defined by a high-dimensional parameter space challenging the comprehensive exploration of parameter effects and design optimization. To overcome this curse of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-01 Corey Arndt , Cody Crusenberry , Bozhi Heng , Rochelle Butler , Stephanie TerMaath

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

The development of efficient surrogates for partial differential equations (PDEs) is a critical step towards scalable modeling of complex, multiscale systems-of-systems. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have gained popularity as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Adrienne M. Propp , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

System reliability analysis aims at computing the probability of failure of an engineering system given a set of uncertain inputs and limit state functions. Active-learning solution schemes have been shown to be a viable tool but as of yet…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-10 Maliki Moustapha , Pietro Parisi , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret
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