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Several researches and evidence show the increasing likelihood of pandemics (large-scale outbreaks of infectious disease) which has far reaching sequels in all aspects of human lives ranging from rapid mortality rates to economic and social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Shreya Ghosh , Anwesha Mukherjee , Soumya K Ghosh , Rajkumar Buyya

Electricity market prices exhibit extreme volatility, nonlinearity, and non-stationarity, making accurate forecasting a significant challenge. While cutting-edge time series foundation models (TSFMs) effectively capture temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yunzhong Qiu , Binzhu Li , Hao Wei , Shenglin Weng , Chen Wang , Zhongyi Pei , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang

Successful predictive modeling of epidemics requires an understanding of the implicit feedback control strategies which are implemented by populations to modulate the spread of contagion. While this task of capturing endogenous behavior can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-31 Ali Jadbabaie , Arnab Sarker , Devavrat Shah

Detailed mobile sensing data from phones, watches, and fitness trackers offer an unparalleled opportunity to quantify and act upon previously unmeasurable behavioral changes in order to improve individual health and accelerate responses to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Mike A. Merrill , Tim Althoff

Many existing approaches for generating predictions in settings with distribution shift model distribution shifts as adversarial or low-rank in suitable representations. In various real-world settings, however, we might expect shifts to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Kirk Bansak , Elisabeth Paulson , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia

The current global health emergency triggered by the pandemic COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges mankind face in this generation. Computational simulations have played an important role to predict the development of the current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Kok Yew Ng , Meei Mei Gui

In the recent years, scientific workflows gained more and more popularity. In scientific workflows, tasks are typically treated as black boxes. Dealing with their complex interrelations to identify optimization potentials and bottlenecks is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Ansgar Lößer , Joel Witzke , Florian Schintke , Björn Scheuermann

Prediction of couriers' delivery timely rates in advance is essential to the logistics industry, enabling companies to take preemptive measures to ensure the normal operation of delivery services. This becomes even more critical during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Jinhui Yi , Huan Yan , Haotian Wang , Jian Yuan , Yong Li

Model-based offline optimization with dynamics-aware policy provides a new perspective for policy learning and out-of-distribution generalization, where the learned policy could adapt to different dynamics enumerated at the training stage.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Chengxing Jia , Hao Yin , Chenxiao Gao , Tian Xu , Lei Yuan , Zongzhang Zhang , Yang Yu

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has exerted a profound impact on patients with end-stage renal disease relying on kidney dialysis to sustain their lives. Motivated by a request by the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Wenbo Wu , John D. Kalbfleisch , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Jian Kang , Kevin He

Model-Based Reinforcement Learning involves learning a \textit{dynamics model} from data, and then using this model to optimise behaviour, most often with an online \textit{planner}. Much of the recent research along these lines presents a…

Motion forecasting is crucial in enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the future trajectories of surrounding agents. To do so, it requires solving mapping, detection, tracking, and then forecasting problems, in a multi-step pipeline.…

Emerging cyber-physical systems increasingly require low-latency inference from streaming sensor data while maintaining models that reflect complex and evolving physical processes. In many domains, however, model updates depend on…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Liubov Kurafeeva , Ryan Hartung , Benjamin Carter , Alan Subedi , Avhishek Biswas , Michael Fay , Shantenu Jha , Chandra Krintz , Andre Merzky , Douglas Thain , Memet Can Vuran , Rich Wolski

Delays frequently occur in real-world environments, yet standard reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms often assume instantaneous perception of the environment. We study random sensor delays in POMDPs, where observations may arrive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Armin Karamzade , Kyungmin Kim , JB Lanier , Davide Corsi , Roy Fox

There is a growing interest in applying deep learning (DL) to healthcare, driven by the availability of data with multiple feature channels in rich-data environments (e.g., intensive care units). However, in many other practical situations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Cao Xiao , Trong Nghia Hoang , Shenda Hong , Tengfei Ma , Jimeng Sun

We model further development of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK given the current data and assuming different scenarios of handling the epidemic. In this research, we further extend the stochastic model suggested in \cite{us} and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Anatoly Zhigljavsky , Roger Whitaker , Ivan Fesenko , Kobi Kremnizer , Jack Noonan

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Forecasting the evolution of contagion dynamics is still an open problem to which mechanistic models only offer a partial answer. To remain mathematically or computationally tractable, these models must rely on simplifying assumptions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-18 Charles Murphy , Edward Laurence , Antoine Allard

In this letter, we investigate learning forward dynamics models and multi-step prediction of state variables (long-term prediction) for contact-rich manipulation. The problems are formulated in the context of model-based reinforcement…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Shahbaz Abdul Khader , Hang Yin , Pietro Falco , Danica Kragic