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This research presents an advanced fractional-order compartmental model designed to delve into the complexities of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, specifically accounting for the influence of environmental pathogens on disease spread. By…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-09 Moein Khalighi , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Leo Lahti

Predicting the economy's short-term dynamics -- a vital input to economic agents' decision-making process -- often uses lagged indicators in linear models. This is typically sufficient during normal times but could prove inadequate during…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-21 James T. E. Chapman , Ajit Desai

Learning-based solutions for long-tailed recognition face difficulties in generalizing on balanced test datasets. Due to imbalanced data prior, the learned \textit{a posteriori} distribution is biased toward the most frequent (head)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-24 S Divakar Bhat , Amit More , Mudit Soni , Surbhi Agrawal

In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, empirical data have revealed that large-scale health crises not only cause immediate disruptions in mortality dynamics but also have persistent effects that may last for several years. Existing…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-26 Yanxin Liu , Kenneth Q. Zhou

The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that fast and accurate analysis of continually collected infectious disease surveillance data is crucial for situational awareness and policy making. Coalescent-based phylodynamic analysis can use genetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Catalina M. Medina , Julia A. Palacios , Volodymyr M. Minin

Behavior cloning of expert demonstrations can speed up learning optimal policies in a more sample-efficient way over reinforcement learning. However, the policy cannot extrapolate well to unseen states outside of the demonstration data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Jung Yeon Park , Lawson L. S. Wong

Diffusion models have risen as a promising approach to data-driven planning, and have demonstrated impressive robotic control, reinforcement learning, and video planning performance. Given an effective planner, an important question to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Siyuan Zhou , Yilun Du , Shun Zhang , Mengdi Xu , Yikang Shen , Wei Xiao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Chuang Gan

Predicting future states or actions of a given system remains a fundamental, yet unsolved challenge of intelligence, especially in the scope of complex and non-deterministic scenarios, such as modeling behavior of humans. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Maciej Zięba , Marcin Przewięźlikowski , Marek Śmieja , Jacek Tabor , Tomasz Trzcinski , Przemysław Spurek

Utilization of multiple trajectories of a dynamical system model provides us with several benefits in approximation of time series. For short term predictions a high accuracy can be achieved via switches to new trajectory at any time.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Victoria Rayskin

The growing impact of global climate change amplifies the need for accurate and reliable weather forecasting. Traditional autoregressive approaches, while effective for temporal modeling, suffer from error accumulation in long-term…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Doyi Kim , Minseok Seo , Hakjin Lee , Junghoon Seo

In the context of journalism, the COVID-19 pandemic brought unprecedented challenges, necessitating rapid adaptations in newsrooms. Data journalism emerged as a pivotal approach for effectively conveying complex information to the public.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Benedict Witzenberger , Jürgen Pfeffer

With the fast development of quantitative portfolio optimization in financial engineering, lots of AI-based algorithmic trading strategies have demonstrated promising results, among which reinforcement learning begins to manifest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Huifang Huang , Ting Gao , Pengbo Li , Jin Guo , Peng Zhang , Nan Du

Data preprocessing is often paid little attention in machine learning, despite its potentially significant impact on model performance. While automated machine learning pipelines are starting to recognize and integrate data preprocessing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yousef Koka , David Selby , Gerrit Großmann , Kathan Pandya , Sebastian Vollmer

When deep learning models are sequentially trained on new data, they tend to abruptly lose performance on previously learned tasks, a critical failure known as catastrophic forgetting. This challenge severely limits the deployment of AI in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Paraskevi-Antonia Theofilou , Anuhya Thota , Stefanos Kollias , Mamatha Thota

Classical compartmental models in epidemiology often assume a homogeneous population for simplicity, which neglects the inherent heterogeneity among individuals. This assumption frequently leads to inaccurate predictions when applied to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-09 Ning Jiang , Weiqi Chu , Yao Li

As the COVID-19 ravaging through the globe, accurate forecasts of the disease spread is crucial for situational awareness, resource allocation, and public health decision-making. Alternative to the traditional disease surveillance data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Simin Ma , Shihao Yang

Diffusion and flow-based models have enabled significant progress in generation tasks across various modalities and have recently found applications in predictive learning. However, unlike typical generation tasks that encourage sample…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yu Zhang , Xingzhuo Guo , Haoran Xu , Jialong Wu , Mingsheng Long

Backdoors are hidden behaviors that are only triggered once an AI system has been deployed. Bad actors looking to create successful backdoors must design them to avoid activation during training and evaluation. Since data used in these…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Sara Price , Arjun Panickssery , Sam Bowman , Asa Cooper Stickland

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Since the emergence of COVID-19, deep learning models have been developed to identify COVID-19 from chest X-rays. With little to no direct access to hospital data, the AI community relies heavily on public data comprising numerous data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Rachael Harkness , Geoff Hall , Alejandro F Frangi , Nishant Ravikumar , Kieran Zucker