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We consider Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models on dense dynamic random graphs, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges are co-evolutionary, i.e., they influence each other bidirectionally. In particular, edges appear and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

We introduce an epidemic spreading model on a network using concepts from percolation theory. The model is motivated by discussing the standard SIR model, with extensions to describe effects of lockdowns within a population. The underlying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Fabrizio Croccolo , H. Eduardo Roman

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

Understanding and predicting outbreaks of contagious diseases are crucial to the development of society and public health, especially for underdeveloped countries. However, challenging problems are encountered because of complex epidemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Ruiqi Li , Wenxu Wang , Zengru Di

An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

We study the critical properties of a model of information spreading based on the SIS epidemic model. Spreading rates decay with time, as ruled by two parameters, $\epsilon$ and $l$, that can be either constant or randomly distributed in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-12 Marlon Ramos , Nuno Crokidakis , Celia Anteneodo

We study dynamics of a variant of the SIR the model, where we assume that individuals respond differently to dynamics of the epidemic. Their heterogeneous response is modeled by the Preisach hysteresis operator. The degree of heterogeneity…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Dmitrii Rachinskii , Samiha Rouf

Understanding how contagions (information, infections, etc) are spread on complex networks is important both from practical as well as theoretical point of view. Considerable work has been done in this regard in the past decade or so.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Afshin Montakhab , Pouya Manshour

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Case isolation, that is, detection and isolation of infected individuals in order to prevent spread, is a strategy to curb infectious disease epidemics. Here, we study the efficiency of a case isolation strategy subject to time delays in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Jonas Hansson , Alain Govaert , Richard Pates , Emma Tegling , Kristian Soltesz

In this paper, we develop a multi-group epidemic framework via virtual dispersal where the risk of infection is a function of the residence time and local environmental risk. This novel approach eliminates the need to define and measure…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-01 Derdei Bichara , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez , Richard Horan , Charles Perrings

Infectious diseases spread through human networks. Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model is one of the epidemic models to describe infection dynamics on a complex network connecting individuals. In the metapopulation SIR model, each node…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-27 Kanako Mizuno , Kazue Kudo

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

We investigate the spread of diseases, computer viruses or information on complex networks and also immunization strategies to prevent or control the spread. When an entire population cannot be immunized and the effect of immunization is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-04-14 Shinji Tanimoto

We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first epidemic might have (partial) immunity for the second one.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Frank Ball , Abid Ali Lashari , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

We study the problem of identifying the source of a diffusion spreading over a regular tree. When the degree of each node is at least three, we show that it is possible to construct confidence sets for the diffusion source with size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-08 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

Compartmental models are valuable tools for investigating infectious diseases. Researchers building such models typically begin with a simple structure where compartments correspond to individuals with different epidemiological statuses,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-21 Darren Flynn-Primrose , Steven C. Walker , Michael Li , Benjamin M. Bolker , David J. D. Earn , Jonathan Dushoff

To better describe the spread of a disease, we extend a discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model of Tuckwell and Williams. We assume the dependence on time of the number of daily encounters and include a parameter to represent a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-30 Mireia Besalú , Giulia Binotto
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