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Mixed modeling of extreme values and random effects is relatively unexplored topic. Computational difficulties in using the maximum likelihood method for mixed models and the fact that maximum likelihood method uses available data and does…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-05 Ali Reza Fotouhi

A usual reinsurance policy for insurance companies admits one or two layers of the payment deductions. Under optimal criterion of minimizing the conditional tail expectation (CTE) risk measure of the insurer's total risk, this article…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Ali Panahi Bazaz

Prediction models frequently face the challenge of concept drift, in which the underlying data distribution changes over time, weakening performance. Examples can include models which predict loan default, or those used in healthcare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Louis Chislett , Catalina A. Vallejos , Timothy I. Cannings , James Liley

The collective risk model differentiates usually between claims frequencies (and their distribution) and claim sizes (and their distribution). For the claims frequencies typically classical discrete distributions are considered, such as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Dietmar Pfeifer

Reward-biased maximum likelihood estimation (RBMLE) is a classic principle in the adaptive control literature for tackling explore-exploit trade-offs. This paper studies the stochastic contextual bandit problem with general bounded reward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Yu-Heng Hung , Ping-Chun Hsieh

This paper studies a dynamic optimal reinsurance and dividend-payout problem for an insurance company in a finite time horizon. The goal of the company is to maximize the expected cumulative discounted dividend payouts until bankruptcy or…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-28 Chonghu Guan , Zuo Quan Xu , Rui Zhou

This work investigates the computational burden of pricing binary options in rare event regimes and introduces an adaptation of the adaptive multilevel splitting (AMS) method for financial derivatives. Standard Monte Carlo becomes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Riccardo Gozzo

We study a continuous time contracting model in which a principal hires a risk averse agent to manage a project over a finite horizon and provides sequential payments whose timing is endogenously determined. The resulting nonzero-sum…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Guillermo Alonso Alvarez , Ibrahim Ekren , Liwei Huang

We study the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance problem when both the intensity of the claims arrival process and the claim size distribution are influenced by an exogenous stochastic factor. We assume that the insurer's surplus is governed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-12 Matteo Brachetta , Claudia Ceci

This study considers an optimal reinsurance, investment, and dividend strategy control problem for insurance companies in a regulated Markov regime-switching environment, intending to maximize long-run average reward. Unlike existing single…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Lingjia Zeng , Manman Li

We study the optimal control problem for a weighted mean-field system. A new feature of the control problem is that the coefficients depend on the state process as well as its weighted measure and the control variable. By applying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Yanyan Tang , Jie Xiong

This paper is concerned with one kind of partially observed progressive optimal control problems of coupled forward-backward stochastic systems driven by both Brownian motion and Poisson random measure with risk-sensitive criteria. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jingtao Lin , Jingtao Shi

We consider an optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer under the mean-variance (MV) criterion. By introducing a deterministic auxiliary process defined forward in time, we formulate an alternative time-consistent problem…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Yang Shen , Bin Zou

Importance Sampling (IS), an effective variance reduction strategy in Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, is frequently utilized for Bayesian inference and other statistical challenges. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) replaces the random samples in MC…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Zhijian He , Hejin Wang , Xiaoqun Wang

We present a general approach to the pricing of products in finance and insurance in the multi-period setting. It is a combination of the utility indifference pricing and optimal intertemporal risk allocation. We give a characterization of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kei Fukuda , Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano

In this paper, we consider a risk-based optimal investment problem of an insurer in a regime-switching jump diffusion model with noisy memory. Using the model uncertainty modeling, we formulate the investment problem as a zero-sum,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-25 Rodwell Kufakunesu , Calisto Guambe , Lesedi Mabitsela

Climate-controlled cabins have for decades been standard in vehicles. Model Predictive Controllers (MPCs) have shown promising results in achieving temperature tracking in vehicle cabins and may improve upon model-free control performance.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-06 David Stenger , Tim Reuscher , Heike Vallery , Dirk Abel

As an emerging travel mode, the modular vehicle system (MVS) is receiving increasing attention. In particular, the operators could connect multiple modular vehicles as an assembled bus in response to the temporary demand varies. Therefore,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Jianbiao Wang , Tomio Miwa , Takayuki Morikawa

In this paper the utility optimization problem for a general insurance model is studied. The reserve process of the insurance company is described by a stochastic differential equation driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Yuping Liu , Jin Ma

This paper studies an optimal investment-reinsurance problem for an insurer (she) under the Cram\'er--Lundberg model with monotone mean--variance (MMV) criterion. At any time, the insurer can purchase reinsurance (or acquire new business)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-30 Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu