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The paper presents a machine learning approach to design digital interfaces that can dynamically adapt to different users and usage strategies. The algorithm uses Bayesian statistics to model users' browsing behavior, focusing on their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Eric Petit , Denis Chêne

Machine learning-based malware detectors are increasingly vulnerable to adversarial examples. Traditional defenses, such as one-shot adversarial training, often fail against adaptive attackers who use reinforcement learning to bypass…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Olha Jurečková , Martin Jureček , Matouš Kozák , Róbert Lórencz

Machine learning models are vulnerable to Adversarial Examples: minor perturbations to input samples intended to deliberately cause misclassification. Current defenses against adversarial examples, especially for Deep Neural Networks (DNN),…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Kathrin Grosse , David Pfaff , Michael Thomas Smith , Michael Backes

It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

Firms in inter-organizational networks such as supply chains or strategic alliances are exposed to interdependent risks. These are risks that are transferable across partner firms. They can be decomposed into intrinsic risks a firm faces…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Sanjith Gopalakrishnan , Sriram Sankaranarayanan

Given the scale of consequences attributable to cyber attacks, the field of cybersecurity has long outgrown ad-hoc decision-making. A popular choice to provide disciplined decision-making in cybersecurity is Game Theory, which seeks to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Brandon Collins , Shouhuai Xu , Philip N. Brown

In this paper, we propose a new framework to detect adversarial examples motivated by the observations that random components can improve the smoothness of predictors and make it easier to simulate the output distribution of a deep neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Yao Li , Tongyi Tang , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Thomas C. M. Lee

We introduce methodology to bridge scenario analysis and model-based risk forecasting, leveraging their respective strengths in policy settings. Our Bayesian framework addresses the fundamental challenge of reconciling judgmental narrative…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-09 Tobias Adrian , Domenico Giannone , Matteo Luciani , Mike West

We consider a counter-adversarial sequential decision-making problem where an agent computes its private belief (posterior distribution) of the current state of the world, by filtering private information. According to its private belief,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Inês Lourenço , Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

The transferability of adversarial examples allows for the attack on unknown deep neural networks (DNNs), posing a serious threat to many applications and attracting great attention. In this paper, we improve the transferability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Qizhang Li , Yiwen Guo , Xiaochen Yang , Wangmeng Zuo , Hao Chen

Solving cybersecurity issues requires a holistic understanding of components, factors, structures and their interactions in cyberspace, but conventional modeling approaches view the field of cybersecurity by their boundaries so that we are…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Dingyu Yan

This paper introduces a novel framework for modeling interacting humans in a multi-stage game. This "iterated semi network-form game" framework has the following desirable characteristics: (1) Bounded rational players, (2) strategic players…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2012-07-05 Ritchie Lee , David H. Wolpert , James Bono , Scott Backhaus , Russell Bent , Brendan Tracey

The task of designing secure software systems is fraught with uncertainty, as data on uncommon attacks is limited, costs are difficult to estimate, and technology and tools are continually changing. Consequently, experts may interpret the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2013-06-03 Simon Miller , Susan Appleby , Jonathan M. Garibaldi , Uwe Aickelin

Regulation, legal liabilities, and societal concerns challenge the adoption of AI in safety and security-critical applications. One of the key concerns is that adversaries can cause harm by manipulating model predictions without being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Jona Klemenc , Holger Trittenbach

Malicious websites are a major cyber attack vector, and effective detection of them is an important cyber defense task. The main defense paradigm in this regard is that the defender uses some kind of machine learning algorithms to train a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Li Xu , Zhenxin Zhan , Shouhuai Xu , Keyin Ye

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

We introduce a decision-making framework tailored for the management of systemic risk in networks. This framework is constructed upon three fundamental components: (1) a set of acceptable network configurations, (2) a set of interventions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß

We model the behavioral biases of human decision-making in securing interdependent systems and show that such behavioral decision-making leads to a suboptimal pattern of resource allocation compared to non-behavioral (rational)…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Mustafa Abdallah , Daniel Woods , Parinaz Naghizadeh , Issa Khalil , Timothy Cason , Shreyas Sundaram , Saurabh Bagchi

This paper studies the problem of defending (1D and 2D) boundaries against a large number of continuous attacks with a heterogeneous group of defenders. The defender team has perfect information of the attack events within some time (finite…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Si Wei Feng , Jingjin Yu

This paper presents a novel, structured decision support framework that systematically aligns diverse artificial intelligence (AI) agent architectures, reactive, cognitive, hybrid, and learning, with the comprehensive National Institute of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Masike Malatji