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The purpose of this paper is to consider the exit-time problem for a finite-range Markov jump process, i.e, the distance the particle can jump is bounded independent of its location. Such jump diffusions are expedient models for anomalous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Nathanial Burch , Marta D'Elia , R. B. Lehoucq

We obtain invariance principles for a wide class of fractionally integrated nonlinear processes. The limiting distributions are shown to be fractional Brownian motions. Under very mild conditions, we extend earlier ones on long memory…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu , Xiaofeng Shao

A standard approach to computing expectations with respect to a given target measure is to introduce an overdamped Langevin equation which is reversible with respect to the target distribution, and to approximate the expectation by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 A. B. Duncan , T. Lelievre , G. A. Pavliotis

Asymptotic expansions with explicit upper bounds for remainders are given for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces. The corresponding algorithms are based on a special technique of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of linear processes having as innovations mean zero, square integrable functions of stationary reversible Markov chains. In doing so we shall preserve the generality of coefficients assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Magda Peligrad

We propose a new concept of lifts of reversible diffusion processes and show that various well-known non-reversible Markov processes arising in applications are lifts in this sense of simple reversible diffusions. Furthermore, we introduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Andreas Eberle , Francis Lörler

We consider the class of simple Brown-Resnick max-stable processes whose spectral processes are continuous exponential martingales. We develop the asymptotic theory for the realized power variations of these max-stable processes, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Christian Y. Robert

We consider general transformations of random walks on groups determined by Markov stopping times and prove that the asymptotic entropy (resp., rate of escape) of the transformed random walks is equal to the asymptotic entropy (resp., rate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-12 Behrang Forghani

We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Jürgen Schmiegel

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the classical Maximal Likelihood Estimation of the transition matrix of a given Markov chain. Meanwhile, in the reversible case, we propose a new reversibility-preserving online Symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

The Large Deviation Principle is established for stochastic models defined by past-dependent non linear recursions with small noise. In the Markov case we use the result to obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotics of exit time.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

By making use of martingale representations, we derive the asymptotic normality of particle filters in hidden Markov models and a relatively simple formula for their asymptotic variances. Although repeated resamplings result in complicated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

This article is a lecture note on the potential theory of (possibly non-reversible) Markov processes and on the connection of this theory with quantitative analysis of the metastability of stochastic processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Insuk Seo

We provide Large Deviation estimates for the bridge of a $d$-dimensional general diffusion process as the conditioning time tends to $0$ and apply these results to the evaluation of the asymptotics of its exit time probabilities. We are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Paolo Baldi , Lucia Caramellino , Maurizia Rossi

We consider additive functionals of Markov processes in continuous time with general (metric) state spaces. We derive concentration bounds for their exponential moments and moments of finite order. Applications include diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-18 Frank Redig , Florian Völlering

We study the effect of observing a stationary process at irregular time points via a renewal process. We establish a sharp difference in the asymptotic behaviour of the self-normalized sample mean of the observed process depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Mohamedou Ould-Haye , Anne Philippe

Consider a discrete time Markov process $X^\epsilon$ on $\mathbf R^d$ that makes a deterministic jump based on its current location, and then takes a small Gaussian step of variance $\epsilon^2$. We study the behavior of the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 William Cooperman , Gautam Iyer , James Nolen

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

The standard approach to analyzing the asymptotic complexity of probabilistic programs is based on studying the asymptotic growth of certain expected values (such as the expected termination time) for increasing input size. We argue that…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Michal Ajdarów , Antonín Kučera