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Predictive monitoring of business processes is a subfield of process mining that aims to predict, among other things, the characteristics of the next event or the sequence of next events. Although multiple approaches based on deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Efrén Rama-Maneiro , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

Dynamic discrete choice models are widely employed to answer substantive and policy questions in settings where individuals' current choices have future implications. However, estimation of these models is often computationally intensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Ebrahim Barzegary , Hema Yoganarasimhan

We introduce a novel framework for decomposing interventional causal effects into synergistic, redundant, and unique components, building on the intuition of Partial Information Decomposition (PID) and the principle of M\"obius inversion.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Abel Jansma

Compartmental models provide simple and efficient tools to analyze the relevant transmission processes during an outbreak, to produce short-term forecasts or transmission scenarios, and to assess the impact of vaccination campaigns.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Caterina Millevoi , Damiano Pasetto , Massimiliano Ferronato

Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains such as climate science, finance, and healthcare. Given the complexity of real-world relationships and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Wenbo Gong , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Nick Pawlowski

Spatio-temporal network dynamics is an emergent property of many complex systems which remains poorly understood. We suggest a new approach to its study based on the analysis of dynamical motifs -- small subnetworks with periodic and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Valentin P. Zhigulin

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Critical points separate distinct dynamical regimes of complex systems, often delimiting functional or macroscopic phases in which the system operates. However, the long-term prediction of critical regimes and behaviors is challenging given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-15 Xiangrong Wang , Dan Lu , Zongze Wu , Weina Xu , Hongru Hou , Yanqing Hu , Yamir Moreno

We introduce a deep residual recurrent neural network (DR-RNN) as an efficient model reduction technique for nonlinear dynamical systems. The developed DR-RNN is inspired by the iterative steps of line search methods in finding the residual…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-05 J. Nagoor Kani , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Cortical networks are strongly recurrent, and neurons have intrinsic temporal dynamics. This sets them apart from deep feed-forward networks. Despite the tremendous progress in the application of feed-forward networks and their theoretical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-07-14 Sandra Nestler , Christian Keup , David Dahmen , Matthieu Gilson , Holger Rauhut , Moritz Helias

One challenge of physics is to explain how collective properties arise from microscopic interactions. Indeed, interactions form the building blocks of almost all physical theories and are described by polynomial terms in the action. The…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-05-03 Claudia Merger , Alexandre René , Kirsten Fischer , Peter Bouss , Sandra Nestler , David Dahmen , Carsten Honerkamp , Moritz Helias

Natural spatiotemporal processes can be highly non-stationary in many ways, e.g. the low-level non-stationarity such as spatial correlations or temporal dependencies of local pixel values; and the high-level variations such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Yunbo Wang , Jianjin Zhang , Hongyu Zhu , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang , Philip S Yu

We consider the learning of algorithmic tasks by mere observation of input-output pairs. Rather than studying this as a black-box discrete regression problem with no assumption whatsoever on the input-output mapping, we concentrate on tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Alex Nowak-Vila , David Folqué , Joan Bruna

We present a physics-inspired method for inferring dynamic rankings in directed temporal networks - networks in which each directed and timestamped edge reflects the outcome and timing of a pairwise interaction. The inferred ranking of each…

Learning long-term dynamics models is the key to understanding physical common sense. Most existing approaches on learning dynamics from visual input sidestep long-term predictions by resorting to rapid re-planning with short-term models.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Haozhi Qi , Xiaolong Wang , Deepak Pathak , Yi Ma , Jitendra Malik

The Partial Information Decomposition (PID) framework has emerged as a powerful tool for analyzing high-order interdependencies in complex network systems. However, its application to dynamic processes remains challenging due to the…

In this paper, we develop a generic methodology to encode hierarchical causality structure among observed variables into a neural network in order to improve its predictive performance. The proposed methodology, called causality-informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Xiaoge Zhang , Xiao-Lin Wang , Fenglei Fan , Yiu-Ming Cheung , Indranil Bose

Optimal control of complex environments with robotic systems faces two complementary and intertwined challenges: efficient organization of sensory state information and far-sighted action planning. Because the reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Abdullah Akgül , Gulcin Baykal , Manuel Haußmann , Mustafa Mert Çelikok , Melih Kandemir

In depth-sensing applications ranging from home robotics to AR/VR, it will be common to acquire 3D scans of interior spaces repeatedly at sparse time intervals (e.g., as part of regular daily use). We propose an algorithm that analyzes…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Maciej Halber , Yifei Shi , Kai Xu , Thomas Funkhouser

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) provide a powerful framework for learning governing equations of dynamical systems from data. Biologically-informed neural networks (BINNs) are a variant of PINNs that preserve the known differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 William Lavery , Jodie A. Cochrane , Christian Olesen , Dagim S. Tadele , John T. Nardini , Sara Hamis