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Related papers: Responses to COVID-19 with Probabilistic Programmi…

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With COVID-19 having emerged as the most widespread human pandemic disease in a century, the need to control its spread to avoid massive loss of life became more than necessary, and extremely fast. Several vaccines were developed and the…

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused tremendous amount of deaths and a devastating impact on the economic development all over the world. Thus, it is paramount to control its further transmission, for which purpose it…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-11 Quan-Lin Li , Chengliang Wang , Yiming Xu , Chi Zhang , Yanxia Chang , Xiaole Wu , Zhen-Ping Fan , Zhi-Guo Liu

While several non-pharmacological measures have been implemented for a few months in an effort to slow the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in the United States, the disease remains a danger in a number of counties as restrictions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-06 Chao Fan , Xiangqi Jiang , Ronald Lee , Ali Mostafavi

In this article, we investigate the importance of demographic and contact patterns in determining the spread of COVID-19 and to the effectiveness of social distancing policies. We investigate these questions proposing an augmented…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-12 M. A. Ridenti , L. K. Teles , A. Maranhão , V. K. Teles

The rapid spread of the Coronavirus SARS-2 is a major challenge that led almost all governments worldwide to take drastic measures to respond to the tragedy. Chief among those measures is the massive lockdown of entire countries and cities,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Salah Ghamizi , Renaud Rwemalika , Lisa Veiber , Maxime Cordy , Tegawende F. Bissyande , Mike Papadakis , Jacques Klein , Yves Le Traon

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

By the end of July 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic had infected more than seventeen million people and had spread to almost all countries worldwide. In response, many countries all over the world have used different methods to reduce the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-21 Hilla De-Leon , Francesco Pederiva

Lockdown procedures have been proven successful in mitigating the spread of the viruses in this COVID-19 pandemic, but they also have devastating impact on the economy. We use a modified Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased model with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Sung-Po Chao

With more than 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths, identifying effective measures to prevent COVID-19 is a top priority. We developed a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic with digital contact tracing and testing strategies. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Daniel Xu

In response to the worldwide outbreak of the coronavirus disease COVID-19, a variety of nonpharmaceutical interventions such as face masks and social distancing have been implemented. A careful assessment of the effects of such containment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

This article considers the minimization of the total number of infected individuals over the course of an epidemic in which the rate of infectious contacts can be reduced by time-dependent nonpharmaceutical interventions. The societal and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Tom Britton , Lasse Leskelä

Restrictions on social and economic activities, as well as vaccinations, have been a key intervention in containing the COVID-19 epidemic. Our work focuses on better understanding the options available to policymakers under the conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

Several non-pharmaceutical interventions have been proposed to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. On the large scale, these empirical solutions, often associated with extended and complete lockdowns, attempt to minimize the costs…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 M. Serra , S. al-Mosleh , S. Ganga Prasath , V. Raju , S. Mantena , J. Chandra , S. Iams , L. Mahadevan

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) which is caused by SARS-COV2 has become a pandemic. This disease is highly infectious and potentially fatal, causing a global public health concern. To contain the spread of COVID-19, governments are adopting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges worldwide. Strained healthcare providers make difficult decisions on patient triage, treatment and care management on a daily basis. Policy makers have imposed social distancing…

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in response to the COVID-19 pandemic necessitated a trade-off between the health impacts of viral spread and the social and economic costs of restrictions. We conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-20 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery

Since the recent introduction of several viable vaccines for SARS-CoV-2, vaccination uptake has become the key factor that will determine our success in containing the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue that game theory and social network models…

To date, the only effective means to respond to the spreading of COVID-19 pandemic are non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which entail policies to reduce social activity and mobility restrictions. Quantifying their effect is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-01 Francesco Parino , Lorenzo Zino , Maurizio Porfiri , Alessandro Rizzo

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

Statistical physicists have long studied systems where the variable of interest spans many orders of magnitude, the classic example is the relaxation times of glassy materials, which are often found to follow power laws. A power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-07 Richard P. Sear