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Related papers: Specification tests for GARCH processes

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We propose an estimator for the mean of random variables in separable real Banach spaces using the empirical characteristic function. Assuming that the covariance operator of the random variable is bounded in a precise sense, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Sohail Bahmani

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a popular nonparametric Bayesian method that provides predictive uncertainty estimates and is widely used in safety-critical applications. While prior research has introduced various uncertainty bounds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Junyi Liu , Stanley Kok

We propose a new model specification test for multiple-equation systems with cross-equation error and dynamic regressor--error dependences. Conventional tests often rely on exogeneity conditions strong enough to ensure consistency of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Koichiro Moriya , Akihiko Noda

The main goal of this paper is an application of Bayesian model comparison, based on the posterior probabilities and posterior odds ratios, in testing the explanatory power of the set of competing GARCH (ang. Generalised Autoregressive…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-10-06 Mateusz Pipien

The validity of various bootstrapping methods has been proved for the sample mean of strongly mixing data. But in many applications, there appear nonlinear statistics of processes that are not strongly mixing. We investigate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-28 Olimjon Sh. Sharipov , Martin Wendler

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

The problem of testing for the parametric form of the conditional variance is considered in a fully nonparametric regression model. A test statistic based on a weighted $L_2$-distance between the empirical characteristic functions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernandez , M. Dolores Jimenez-Gamero

We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-01 Stephan Haug , Claudia Klüppelberg , German Straub

The AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and its generalized version (GARCH) family of models have grown to encompass a wide range of specifications, each of them is designed to enhance the ability of the model to capture…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. R. Jafari , A. Bahraminasab , P. Norouzzadeh

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

We revisit the null distribution of the high-dimensional spatial-sign test of Wang et al. (2015) under mild structural assumptions on the scatter matrix. We show that the standardized test statistic converges to a non-Gaussian limit,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Ping Zhao , Long Feng

We develop a framework for Gaussian processes regression constrained by boundary value problems. The framework may be applied to infer the solution of a well-posed boundary value problem with a known second-order differential operator and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Laura Swiler

This paper derives asymptotic approximations to the power of Cramer-von Mises (CvM) style tests for inference on a finite dimensional parameter defined by conditional moment inequalities in the case where the parameter is set identified.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-10 Timothy B. Armstrong

In this article, we first propose the modified Hannan-Rissanen Method for estimating the parameters of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) process with symmetric stable noise and symmetric stable generalized autoregressive conditional…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-25 Aastha M. Sathe , N. S. Upadhye

The presence of outlying observations may adversely affect statistical testing procedures that result in unstable test statistics and unreliable inferences depending on the distortion in parameter estimates. In spite of the fact that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-19 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay , Abhijit Mandal

This paper provides general expression for Bartlett and Bartlett-type correction factors for the likelihood ratio and gradient statistics to test the dispersion parameter in heteroscedastic symmetric nonlinear models. This class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Mariana C. Araújo , Audrey H. M. A. Cysneiros , Lourdes C. Montenegro

For a GJR-GARCH specification with a generic innovation distribution we derive analytic expressions for the first four conditional moments of the forward and aggregated returns and variances. Moment for the most commonly used GARCH models…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-07 Carol Alexander , Emese Lazar , Silvia Stanescu

We develop goodness-of-fit tests for max-stable random fields, which are used to model heavy-tailed spatial data. The test statistics are constructed based on the Fourier transforms of the indicators of extreme values in the heavy-tailed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Ying Niu , Zhao Chen , Christina Dan Wang , Yuwei Zhao

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Katarzyna Bartkiewicz , Adam Jakubowski , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

Kronecker product covariance structure provides an efficient way to modeling the inter-correlations of matrix-variate data. In this paper, we propose testing statistics for Kronecker product covariance matrix based on linear spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-02 Long Yu , Jiahui Xie , Wang Zhou
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