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Related papers: Specification tests for GARCH processes

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The consistency of a bootstrap or resampling scheme is classically validated by weak convergence of conditional laws. However, when working with stochastic processes in the space of bounded functions and their weak convergence in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

This paper proposes several tests of restricted specification in nonparametric instrumental regression. Based on series estimators, test statistics are established that allow for tests of the general model against a parametric or…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-24 Christoph Breunig

Shape restrictions have played a central role in economics as both testable implications of theory and sufficient conditions for obtaining informative counterfactual predictions. In this paper we provide a general procedure for inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Andres Santos

In this paper, we propose a new test for checking the parametric form of the conditional variance based on distance covariance in nonlinear and nonparametric regression models. Inherit from the nice properties of distance covariance, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-19 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Falong Tan

The paper proposes a new bootstrap approach to the Pesaran, Shin and Smith's bound tests in a conditional equilibrium correction model with the aim to overcome some typical drawbacks of the latter, such as inconclusive inference and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-12 Stefano Bertelli , Gianmarco Vacca , Maria Grazia Zoia

We provide a limit theory for a general class of kernel smoothed U-statistics that may be used for specification testing in time series regression with nonstationary data. The test framework allows for linear and nonlinear models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Qiying Wang , Peter C. B. Phillips

We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Kilani Ghoudi , Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

We propose a continuous-time Markov-switching generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (COMS-GARCH) process for handling irregularly spaced time series (TS) with multiple volatilities states. We employ a Gibbs sampler in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Yinan Li , Fang Liu

Estimating conditional quantiles of financial time series is essential for risk management and many other applications in finance. It is well-known that financial time series display conditional heteroscedasticity. Among the large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Yao Zheng , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li , Zhijie Xiao

The quasi-maximum likelihood estimation is a commonly-used method for estimating GARCH parameters. However, such estimators are sensitive to outliers and their asymptotic normality is proved under the finite fourth moment assumption on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

This paper considers a class of nonparametric autoregressive models with nonstationarity. We propose a nonparametric kernel test for the conditional mean and then establish an asymptotic distribution of the proposed test. Both the setting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Jiti Gao , Maxwell King , Zudi Lu , Dag Tjøstheim

In this paper we investigate how the bootstrap can be applied to time series regressions when the volatility of the innovations is random and non-stationary. The volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-12 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Anders Rahbek , Iliyan Georgiev

This paper proposes an innovative threshold measurement equation to be employed in a Realized-GARCH framework. The proposed framework incorporates a nonlinear threshold regression specification to consider the leverage effect and model the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-01 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach

This paper proposes new specification tests for conditional models with discrete responses, which are key to apply efficient maximum likelihood methods, to obtain consistent estimates of partial effects and to get appropriate predictions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

This paper introduces a novel test for conditional stochastic dominance (CSD) at specific values of the conditioning covariates, referred to as target points. The test is relevant for analyzing income inequality, evaluating treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-20 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Deborah Kim

This paper proposes a max-test for testing (possibly infinitely) many zero parameter restrictions in an extremum estimation framework. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many empirical loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Jonathan B. Hill

We introduce a new framework for constructing tests of general semiparametric hypotheses which have nontrivial power on the $n^{-1/2}$ scale in every direction, and can be tailored to put substantial power on alternatives of importance. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter J. Bickel , Ya'acov Ritov , Thomas M. Stoker

Standard chance constrained control algorithms typically rely on the assumption that uncertainties in vehicle states obey Gaussian statistics. Highly nonlinear systems tend to disrupt Gaussianity, challenging standard chance-constrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Ethan Burnett , Spencer Boone

The estimation of multivariate GARCH time series models is a difficult task mainly due to the significant overparameterization exhibited by the problem and usually referred to as the "curse of dimensionality". For example, in the case of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-31 Stéphane Chrétien , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We consider the problem of testing significance of predictors in multivariate nonparametric quantile regression. A stochastic process is proposed, which is based on a comparison of the responses with a nonparametric quantile regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-15 Stanislav Volgushev , Melanie Birke , Holger Dette , Natalie Neumeyer