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We investigate stochastic processes possessing scale invariance properties which we refer to as multifractal processes. The examples of such processes known so far do not go much beyond the original cascade construction of Mandelbrot. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Danijel Grahovac

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

Granger causality and variants of this concept allow the study of complex dynamical systems as networks constructed from multivariate time series. In this work, a large number of Granger causality measures used to form causality networks…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-08 Elsa Siggiridou , Christos Koutlis , Alkiviadis Tsimpiris , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

We reexamine the classical linear regression model when the model is subject to two types of uncertainty: (i) some of covariates are either missing or completely inaccessible, and (ii) the variance of the measurement error is undetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Many psychological experiments have subjects repeat a task to gain the statistical precision required to test quantitative theories of psychological performance. In such experiments, time-on-task can have sizable effects on performance,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-05 David Gunawan , Guy E. Hawkins , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Scott D. Brown

Important information on the structure of complex systems, consisting of more than one component, can be obtained by measuring to which extent the individual components exchange information among each other. Such knowledge is needed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

In this paper we consider multivariate time series obtained as solution to multidimensional nonlinear stochastic difference equations whose coefficients are allowed to be locally degenerate and to present discontinuities. We provide simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 Marco Ferrante , Giovanni Fonseca

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

The causal inference model proposed by Lee (2008) for the regression discontinuity design (RDD) relies on assumptions that imply the continuity of the density of the assignment (running) variable. The test for this implication is commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-28 Federico Crippa

In this article, we introduce the mean independent component analysis for multivariate time series to reduce the parameter space. In particular, we seek for a contemporaneous linear transformation that detects univariate mean independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Chung Eun Lee , Zeda Li

We add non-linear and state-dependent terms to quantum field theory. We show that the resulting low-energy theory, non-linear quantum mechanics, is causal, preserves probability and permits a consistent description of the process of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-03-10 David E. Kaplan , Surjeet Rajendran

This paper presents a general framework for modeling dependence in multivariate time series. Its fundamental approach relies on decomposing each signal in a system into various frequency components and then studying the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-01 Hernando Ombao , Marco Pinto

The fluctuations in nonequilibrium systems are under intense theoretical and experimental investigation. Topical ``fluctuation relations'' describe symmetries of the statistical properties of certain observables, in a variety of models and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-08 Lamberto Rondoni , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio

The crucial aspect of this demonstration is the discovery of renewal events, hidden in the computed dynamics of a multifractal metronome, which enables the replacement of the phenomenon of strong anticipation with a time delayed…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-07-20 Korosh Mahmoodi , Bruce J. West , Paolo Grigolini

This study proposes a linear approach for propagating uncertainties in the multiline thru-reflect-line (TRL) calibration method for vector network analyzers. The multiline TRL formulation we are proposing applies the law of uncertainty…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-19 Ziad Hatab , Michael Ernst Gadringer , Wolfgang Bösch

This paper is devoted to testing time series that exhibit behavior related to two or more regimes with different statistical properties. Motivation of our study are two real data sets from plasma physics with observable two-regimes…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 Janusz gajda , Grzegorz Sikora , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

We address causal reasoning in multivariate time series data generated by stochastic processes. Existing approaches are largely restricted to static settings, ignoring the continuity and emission of variations across time. In contrast, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Mehdi Fatemi , Sindhu Gowda

In modern interdisciplinary research, manifold time series data have been garnering more attention. A critical question in analyzing such data is ``stationarity'', which reflects the underlying dynamic behavior and is crucial across various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Junhao Zhu , Dehan Kong , Zhaolei Zhang , Zhenhua Lin

Fractals and multifractals and their associated scaling laws provide a quantification of the complexity of a variety of scale invariant complex systems. Here, we focus on lattice multifractals which exhibit complex exponents associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-14 W. -X. Zhou , D. Sornette

In this paper, we establish an iterative data-driven approach to derive guaranteed bounds on nonlinearity measures of unknown nonlinear systems. In this context, nonlinearity measures quantify the strength of the nonlinearity of a dynamical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-13 Tim Martin , Frank Allgöwer