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Explaining predictions based on multivariate time series data carries the additional difficulty of handling not only multiple features, but also time dependencies. It matters not only what happened, but also when, and the same feature could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Joseph Enguehard

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

Datagaps are ubiquitous in real world observational data. Quantifying nonlinearity in data having gaps can be challenging. Reported research points out that interpolation can affect nonlinear quantifiers adversely, artificially introducing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-05 Sandip V. George , G. Ambika

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

This contribution addresses the question commonly asked in scientific literature about the sources of multifractality in time series. Two primary sources are typically considered. These are temporal correlations and heavy tails in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-16 Robert Kluszczyński , Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Tomasz Stanisz , Marcin Wątorek

The measurement of human behavior remains a central challenge across the behavioral sciences. Traditional approaches typically rely on passive observation of responses collected under static or weakly controlled conditions, limiting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Pietro Cipresso

Based on the mathematical arguments formulated within the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) approach it is shown that in the uncorrelated time series from the Gaussian basin of attraction the effects resembling…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-03-30 Jarosław Kwapień , Pawel Blasiak , Stanisław Drożdż , Paweł Oświęcimka

The combination of nondeterminism and probability in concurrent systems lead to the development of several interpretations of process behavior. If we restrict our attention to linear properties only, we can identify three main approaches to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Valentina Castiglioni

The process of transforming observed data into predictive mathematical models of the physical world has always been paramount in science and engineering. Although data is currently being collected at an ever-increasing pace, devising…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

Perceptual multistability, observed across species and sensory modalities, offers valuable insights into numerous cognitive functions and dysfunctions. For instance, differences in temporal dynamics and information integration during…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-24 Shervin Safavi , Danaé Rolland , Philipp Sterzer , Renaud Jardri , Pantelis Leptourgos

An important issue in functional time series analysis is whether an observed series comes from a purely random process. We extend the BDS test, a widely-used nonlinear independence test, to the functional time series. Like the BDS test in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Xin Huang , Han Lin Shang , Tak Kuen Siu

Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data provides information concerning activity in the brain and in particular the interactions between brain regions. Resting state fMRI data is widely used for inferring connectivities in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-04 Christina Stoehr , John A D Aston , Claudia Kirch

The absence of time-reversal symmetry is a fundamental property of many nonlinear time series. Here, we propose a new set of statistical tests for time series irreversibility based on standard and horizontal visibility graphs. Specifically,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-04-07 Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

This chapter covers methodological issues related to estimation, testing and computation for models involving structural changes. Our aim is to review developments as they relate to econometric applications based on linear models.…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Bicoherence analysis is a well established method for identifying the quadratic nonlinearity of stationary processes. However, it is often applied without checking the basic assumptions of stationarity and convergence. The classic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-08 Peter Zsolt Poloskei , Gergely Papp , Gabor Por , Laszlo Horvath , Gergo I. Pokol

Modeling biological processes is a highly demanding task because not all processes are fully understood. Mathematical models allow us to test hypotheses about possible mechanisms of biological processes. The mathematical mechanisms…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Cordula Reisch , Hannah Burmester

Macroscopic systems often display phase transitions where certain physical quantities are singular or self-similar at different (spatial) scales. Such properties of systems are currently characterized by some order parameters and a few…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-12 Zhi Chen , Xiao Xu

In 1980 and 1981, two pioneering papers laid the foundation for what became known as nonlinear time-series analysis: the analysis of observed data---typically univariate---via dynamical systems theory. Based on the concept of state-space…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-24 Elizabeth Bradley , Holger Kantz

Nonlinear mixed effects models have become a standard platform for analysis when data is in the form of continuous and repeated measurements of subjects from a population of interest, while temporal profiles of subjects commonly follow a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Se Yoon Lee

We study regularity properties of frequency measures arising from random substitutions, which are a generalisation of (deterministic) substitutions where the substituted image of each letter is chosen independently from a fixed finite set.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Andrew Mitchell , Alex Rutar
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